Smashing the 3rd
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 738 | 1198 | 7% | 2024-09-30 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1025 | 49% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
| 1079 | 1117 | 45% | 2022-07-11 | Won |
| 1029 | 780 | 81% | 2020-10-14 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1063 | 50% | 2019-08-16 | Won |
| 1058 | 1075 | 48% | 2017-06-02 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2017-02-25 | Won |
| 935 | 1079 | 30% | 2016-10-25 | Lost |
| 984 | 976 | 51% | 2016-08-19 | Won |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2014-08-19 | Won |
| 1107 | 1146 | 44% | 2013-03-03 | Won |
| 1044 | 1077 | 45% | 2012-07-15 | Lost |
| 961 | 973 | 48% | 2012-06-12 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2011-06-12 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1060 | 68% | 2010-01-22 | Won |
| 1263 | 1170 | 63% | 2009-10-07 | Lost |
| 1029 | 933 | 63% | 2007-03-18 | Won |
| 1036 | 998 | 55% | 2007-02-03 | Won |
| 1159 | 1109 | 57% | 2005-09-03 | Lost |
| 1286 | 1219 | 60% | 2005-01-01 | Won |
| 1069 | 1076 | 49% | 2004-03-24 | Won |
| 833 | 1076 | 20% | 2001-12-22 | Won |
| 1033 | 1030 | 50% | 2000-04-01 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1000 | 61% | | Lost |
| 1216 | 1078 | 69% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1056.4 vs 1056.2 has a 50.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).