Smashing the 3rd
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 757 | 1217 | 7% | 2024-09-30 | Lost |
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
| 1102 | 1117 | 48% | 2022-07-11 | Won |
| 1029 | 780 | 81% | 2020-10-14 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1032 | 51% | 2019-08-16 | Won |
| 1058 | 1075 | 48% | 2017-06-02 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2017-02-25 | Won |
| 935 | 1102 | 28% | 2016-10-25 | Lost |
| 984 | 953 | 54% | 2016-08-19 | Won |
| 939 | 949 | 49% | 2014-08-19 | Won |
| 1107 | 1098 | 51% | 2013-03-03 | Won |
| 1046 | 1054 | 49% | 2012-07-15 | Lost |
| 952 | 984 | 45% | 2012-06-12 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2011-06-12 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1068 | 70% | 2010-01-22 | Won |
| 1249 | 1170 | 61% | 2009-10-07 | Lost |
| 1053 | 933 | 67% | 2007-03-18 | Won |
| 1041 | 998 | 56% | 2007-02-03 | Won |
| 1160 | 1180 | 47% | 2005-09-03 | Lost |
| 1287 | 1274 | 52% | 2005-01-01 | Won |
| 1069 | 1184 | 34% | 2004-03-24 | Won |
| 830 | 1184 | 12% | 2001-12-22 | Won |
| 1033 | 1073 | 44% | 2000-04-01 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | | Lost |
| 1217 | 1084 | 68% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1060 vs 1068.6 has a 48.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).