Smashing the 3rd
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 734 | 1282 | 4% | 2024-09-30 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
| 1194 | 1117 | 61% | 2022-07-11 | Won |
| 1029 | 773 | 81% | 2020-10-14 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1040 | 47% | 2019-08-16 | Won |
| 1075 | 1075 | 50% | 2017-06-02 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2017-02-25 | Won |
| 935 | 1194 | 18% | 2016-10-25 | Lost |
| 984 | 997 | 48% | 2016-08-19 | Won |
| 939 | 941 | 50% | 2014-08-19 | Won |
| 1106 | 1078 | 54% | 2013-03-03 | Won |
| 1029 | 1003 | 54% | 2012-07-15 | Lost |
| 969 | 968 | 50% | 2012-06-12 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2011-06-12 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1048 | 70% | 2010-01-22 | Won |
| 1032 | 934 | 64% | 2007-03-18 | Won |
| 1041 | 998 | 56% | 2007-02-03 | Won |
| 1160 | 1174 | 48% | 2005-09-03 | Lost |
| 1286 | 1333 | 43% | 2005-01-01 | Won |
| 1070 | 1204 | 32% | 2004-03-24 | Won |
| 831 | 1204 | 10% | 2001-12-22 | Won |
| 1033 | 1103 | 40% | 2000-04-01 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1000 | 66% | | Lost |
| 1217 | 1117 | 64% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1053.8 vs 1075.2 has a 46.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).