Smashing the 3rd
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 142 (17 on the archive and 125 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 82
Defender wins (Russian): 60
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2022-07-11 | Won |
1039 | 799 | 80% | 2020-10-14 | Lost |
1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2019-08-16 | Won |
1110 | 972 | 69% | 2017-06-02 | Won |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2017-02-25 | Won |
934 | 1109 | 27% | 2016-10-25 | Lost |
990 | 1027 | 45% | 2016-08-19 | Won |
939 | 970 | 46% | 2014-08-19 | Won |
1073 | 989 | 62% | 2013-03-03 | Won |
1089 | 1063 | 54% | 2012-07-15 | Lost |
1091 | 984 | 65% | 2011-06-12 | Lost |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2010-01-22 | Won |
992 | 939 | 58% | 2007-03-18 | Won |
1037 | 998 | 56% | 2007-02-03 | Won |
1148 | 1133 | 52% | 2005-09-03 | Lost |
1287 | 1307 | 47% | 2005-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1055.2 vs 1033.3 has a 53.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).