Nocturnal Attrition
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (10 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 5
Defender wins (Italian): 6
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 0
Defender wins (Italian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1026 | 1033 | 49% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1013 | 76% | 2020-01-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-04-23 | Lost |
| 1107 | 965 | 69% | 2014-10-20 | Won |
| 957 | 1071 | 34% | 2014-03-26 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1058 | 46% | 2006-05-06 | Won |
| 1033 | 1127 | 37% | 2005-05-05 | Lost |
| 1101 | 994 | 65% | 2001-01-20 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1161 | 37% | 2000-03-05 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1094 | 58% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1077.8 vs 1060.4 has a 52.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).