Nocturnal Attrition
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 4
Defender wins (Italian): 5
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 0
Defender wins (Italian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 981 | 1063 | 38% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1011 | 76% | 2020-01-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-04-23 | Lost |
| 1113 | 966 | 70% | 2014-10-20 | Won |
| 954 | 1066 | 34% | 2014-03-26 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2006-05-06 | Won |
| 1033 | 1099 | 41% | 2005-05-05 | Lost |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 2001-01-20 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1148 | 38% | 2000-03-05 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1029 | 65% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1070.2 vs 1041.5 has a 54.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).