Might Makes Right
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 142 (39 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 89
Defender wins (Norwegian): 53
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Norwegian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1032 | 45% | 2026-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2026-01-12 | | Won |
| 1021 | 1017 | 51% | 2025-07-05 | D | Lost |
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2023-05-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2022-04-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2022-03-26 | | Won |
| 985 | 966 | 53% | 2022-01-15 | | Won |
| 1132 | 969 | 72% | 2021-10-05 | | Won |
| 894 | 943 | 43% | 2021-01-30 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2020-12-06 | | Won |
| 993 | 953 | 56% | 2020-05-12 | | Won |
| 1077 | 907 | 73% | 2020-02-01 | | Won |
| 945 | 1000 | 42% | 2019-09-21 | | Lost |
| 973 | 947 | 54% | 2019-08-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1435 | 8% | 2019-02-13 | | Lost |
| 1142 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-02-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2017-11-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2017-03-11 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2017-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1174 | 1000 | 73% | 2016-07-18 | | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | | Won |
| 926 | 1150 | 22% | 2015-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 916 | 74% | 2014-04-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2014-02-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2013-09-15 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1093 | 51% | 2012-03-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2011-09-02 | | Lost |
| 997 | 951 | 57% | 2010-11-30 | | Won |
| 1167 | 964 | 76% | 2009-10-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2009-06-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 862 | 69% | 2006-08-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2003-01-25 | | Won |
| 925 | 1074 | 30% | 2003-01-17 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1125 | 51% | 2002-10-23 | | Won |
| 1025 | 1000 | 54% | 2002-09-15 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2002-05-18 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2001-09-01 | | Lost |
| 827 | 1000 | 27% | 2001-06-30 | | Lost |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1025 vs 1026.6 has a 49.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).