Might Makes Right
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Norwegian): 12
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Norwegian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1045 | 999 | 57% | 2025-07-05 | Lost |
977 | 977 | 50% | 2023-05-07 | Won |
961 | 871 | 63% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
985 | 998 | 48% | 2022-01-15 | Won |
1124 | 968 | 71% | 2021-10-05 | Won |
972 | 900 | 60% | 2021-01-30 | Won |
1163 | 1176 | 48% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
1038 | 1050 | 48% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
1102 | 918 | 74% | 2020-02-01 | Won |
946 | 961 | 48% | 2019-09-21 | Lost |
976 | 913 | 59% | 2019-08-12 | Won |
1273 | 1413 | 31% | 2019-02-13 | Lost |
1142 | 1101 | 56% | 2019-02-10 | Won |
960 | 965 | 49% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
1242 | 1314 | 40% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
909 | 1037 | 32% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2016-07-18 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
926 | 1112 | 26% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
1100 | 916 | 74% | 2014-04-26 | Won |
1089 | 1228 | 31% | 2014-02-03 | Lost |
1100 | 1094 | 51% | 2012-03-31 | Won |
931 | 1060 | 32% | 2011-09-02 | Lost |
993 | 951 | 56% | 2010-11-30 | Won |
1044 | 982 | 59% | 2009-10-12 | Won |
1104 | 1014 | 63% | 2009-06-07 | Lost |
931 | 862 | 60% | 2006-08-25 | Won |
944 | 1034 | 37% | 2003-01-25 | Won |
914 | 1050 | 31% | 2003-01-17 | Lost |
1125 | 1196 | 40% | 2002-10-23 | Won |
1064 | 1128 | 41% | 2002-09-15 | Lost |
1152 | 1036 | 66% | 2002-05-18 | Won |
1115 | 987 | 68% | 2001-09-01 | Lost |
827 | 844 | 48% | 2001-06-30 | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1036 vs 1024.9 has a 51.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).