Might Makes Right
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Norwegian): 12
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Norwegian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 1004 | 55% | 2025-07-05 | Lost |
| 968 | 953 | 52% | 2023-05-07 | Won |
| 961 | 893 | 60% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
| 985 | 927 | 58% | 2022-01-15 | Won |
| 1135 | 968 | 72% | 2021-10-05 | Won |
| 935 | 918 | 52% | 2021-01-30 | Won |
| 1163 | 1176 | 48% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1038 | 1050 | 48% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1099 | 918 | 74% | 2020-02-01 | Won |
| 946 | 1058 | 34% | 2019-09-21 | Lost |
| 976 | 913 | 59% | 2019-08-12 | Won |
| 1274 | 1416 | 31% | 2019-02-13 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1101 | 56% | 2019-02-10 | Won |
| 960 | 947 | 52% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
| 1242 | 1333 | 37% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 951 | 1037 | 38% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2016-07-18 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 927 | 1113 | 26% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1100 | 916 | 74% | 2014-04-26 | Won |
| 1089 | 1228 | 31% | 2014-02-03 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1093 | 51% | 2012-03-31 | Won |
| 931 | 1065 | 32% | 2011-09-02 | Lost |
| 993 | 951 | 56% | 2010-11-30 | Won |
| 1075 | 982 | 63% | 2009-10-12 | Won |
| 1105 | 1016 | 63% | 2009-06-07 | Lost |
| 931 | 862 | 60% | 2006-08-25 | Won |
| 945 | 1035 | 37% | 2003-01-25 | Won |
| 914 | 1063 | 30% | 2003-01-17 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1189 | 42% | 2002-10-23 | Won |
| 1123 | 1078 | 56% | 2002-09-15 | Lost |
| 1152 | 984 | 72% | 2002-05-18 | Won |
| 1127 | 987 | 69% | 2001-09-01 | Lost |
| 827 | 844 | 48% | 2001-06-30 | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1039.2 vs 1023.8 has a 52.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).