Grebbe End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 215 (46 on the archive and 169 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 117
Defender wins (Dutch): 98
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 1100 | 50% | 2026-01-28 | Won |
| 1032 | 1045 | 48% | 2026-01-05 | Won |
| 1079 | 1093 | 48% | 2025-03-30 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1040 | 52% | 2024-12-19 | Won |
| 933 | 1036 | 36% | 2024-01-14 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2023-11-08 | Won |
| 1090 | 1040 | 57% | 2023-05-18 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1031 | 52% | 2023-04-04 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1167 | 44% | 2022-11-17 | Won |
| 1038 | 1021 | 52% | 2021-10-20 | Won |
| 1125 | 1077 | 57% | 2021-09-11 | Won |
| 1184 | 1130 | 58% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
| 939 | 983 | 44% | 2019-10-19 | Won |
| 948 | 1045 | 36% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1153 | 38% | 2018-12-24 | Won |
| 1058 | 967 | 63% | 2018-07-08 | Lost |
| 1059 | 915 | 70% | 2016-05-16 | Won |
| 961 | 1152 | 25% | 2016-04-30 | Lost |
| 916 | 1120 | 24% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1038 | 47% | 2014-07-18 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1143 | 36% | 2014-07-03 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1245 | 22% | 2014-06-18 | Won |
| 1044 | 1046 | 50% | 2012-10-02 | Won |
| 1007 | 855 | 71% | 2009-03-22 | Won |
| 870 | 1077 | 23% | 2008-11-01 | Lost |
| 1434 | 1160 | 83% | 2008-09-07 | Won |
| 1004 | 1150 | 30% | 2008-09-07 | Won |
| 1243 | 1068 | 73% | 2008-03-29 | Won |
| 862 | 1088 | 21% | 2007-07-07 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1086 | 54% | 2006-11-25 | Won |
| 1174 | 1026 | 70% | 2005-09-22 | Won |
| 930 | 1140 | 23% | 2005-09-15 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1128 | 37% | 2005-05-16 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2005-05-12 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2005-05-05 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2004-08-02 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1020 | 54% | 2002-06-15 | Won |
| 934 | 982 | 43% | 2002-06-12 | Won |
| 969 | 1342 | 10% | 2002-02-23 | Lost |
| 1127 | 866 | 82% | 2002-01-27 | Won |
| 1060 | 1004 | 58% | 2002-01-27 | Lost |
| 986 | 1127 | 31% | 2002-01-13 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1066 | 52% | 2001-10-04 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2001-08-01 | Lost |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 2001-06-23 | Lost |
| 860 | 1095 | 21% | | Lost |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1040.7 vs 1073.8 has a 45.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).