Grebbe End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 196 (30 on the archive and 166 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 110
Defender wins (Dutch): 86
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1013 | 1041 | 46% | 2024-01-14 | Won |
1090 | 1012 | 61% | 2023-05-18 | Lost |
968 | 1048 | 39% | 2023-04-04 | Lost |
1088 | 1062 | 54% | 2022-11-17 | Won |
1022 | 1030 | 49% | 2021-10-20 | Won |
1183 | 1008 | 73% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
954 | 984 | 46% | 2019-10-19 | Won |
924 | 968 | 44% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
1057 | 1192 | 31% | 2018-12-24 | Won |
1058 | 966 | 63% | 2018-07-08 | Lost |
1050 | 934 | 66% | 2016-05-16 | Won |
1011 | 1036 | 46% | 2014-07-18 | Lost |
968 | 1144 | 27% | 2014-07-03 | Lost |
1026 | 1317 | 16% | 2014-06-18 | Won |
1089 | 1087 | 50% | 2012-10-02 | Won |
1003 | 890 | 66% | 2009-03-22 | Won |
871 | 1083 | 23% | 2008-11-01 | Lost |
1360 | 1281 | 61% | 2008-09-07 | Won |
1197 | 1068 | 68% | 2008-03-29 | Won |
862 | 1083 | 22% | 2007-07-07 | Lost |
1095 | 1086 | 51% | 2006-11-25 | Won |
916 | 1073 | 29% | 2005-09-22 | Won |
1037 | 1088 | 43% | 2005-05-16 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2005-05-12 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2005-05-05 | Won |
934 | 992 | 42% | 2002-06-12 | Won |
1142 | 856 | 84% | 2002-01-27 | Won |
980 | 1142 | 28% | 2002-01-13 | Lost |
1083 | 1080 | 50% | 2001-10-04 | Won |
1097 | 890 | 77% | 2001-06-23 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1042.4 vs 1054.5 has a 48.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).