Strongpoint 11
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 169 (33 on the archive and 136 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 86
Defender wins (Dutch): 82
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (Dutch): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 962 | 63% | 2026-02-19 | Won |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2025-06-12 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1072 | 67% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 959 | 1026 | 40% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 868 | 983 | 34% | 2024-08-05 | Lost |
| 1160 | 879 | 83% | 2024-01-28 | Lost |
| 1102 | 932 | 73% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 948 | 980 | 45% | 2021-05-30 | Lost |
| 1172 | 980 | 75% | 2020-05-30 | Won |
| 1071 | 1145 | 40% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
| 1217 | 932 | 84% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-07-16 | Lost |
| 987 | 853 | 68% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 987 | 853 | 68% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 962 | 1143 | 26% | 2017-01-30 | Won |
| 1058 | 1091 | 45% | 2016-06-18 | Won |
| 1024 | 993 | 54% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1065 | 65% | 2015-04-26 | Won |
| 1220 | 1062 | 71% | 2015-01-16 | Won |
| 1098 | 977 | 67% | 2013-10-20 | Won |
| 1045 | 1046 | 50% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1053 | 57% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 1255 | 1053 | 76% | 2008-09-22 | Won |
| 1068 | 930 | 69% | 2008-09-18 | Lost |
| 1186 | 957 | 79% | 2008-03-16 | Won |
| 1092 | 1041 | 57% | 2007-06-02 | Lost |
| 1269 | 1036 | 79% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1009 | 1182 | 27% | 2005-12-19 | Won |
| 927 | 1009 | 38% | 2004-05-15 | Lost |
| 993 | 1065 | 40% | 2002-12-01 | Won |
| 1269 | 1140 | 68% | 2001-10-03 | Won |
| 1109 | 1041 | 60% | 2001-09-16 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1083.4 vs 1017.9 has a 59.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).