Strongpoint 11
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (Japanese): 19
Defender wins (Dutch): 11
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (Dutch): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 1051 | 42% | 2025-06-12 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1086 | 63% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 916 | 996 | 39% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 991 | 1022 | 46% | 2024-08-05 | Lost |
| 1141 | 889 | 81% | 2024-01-28 | Lost |
| 1110 | 932 | 74% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 945 | 1078 | 32% | 2021-05-30 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1078 | 55% | 2020-05-30 | Won |
| 1068 | 1144 | 39% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
| 1221 | 933 | 84% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2017-07-16 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 975 | 1144 | 27% | 2017-01-30 | Won |
| 1193 | 1092 | 64% | 2016-06-18 | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1062 | 65% | 2015-04-26 | Won |
| 1211 | 1062 | 70% | 2015-01-16 | Won |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2013-10-20 | Won |
| 1048 | 1080 | 45% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1052 | 55% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 1189 | 1046 | 69% | 2008-09-22 | Won |
| 1146 | 957 | 75% | 2008-03-16 | Won |
| 1092 | 1041 | 57% | 2007-06-02 | Lost |
| 1267 | 1031 | 80% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1009 | 1223 | 23% | 2005-12-19 | Won |
| 928 | 1009 | 39% | 2004-05-15 | Lost |
| 993 | 1062 | 40% | 2002-12-01 | Won |
| 1267 | 1151 | 66% | 2001-10-03 | Won |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2001-09-16 | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1085.3 vs 1038 has a 56.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).