Strongpoint 11
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (Japanese): 19
Defender wins (Dutch): 11
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (Dutch): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1014 | 52% | 2025-06-12 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1098 | 61% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 934 | 996 | 41% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1044 | 48% | 2024-08-05 | Lost |
| 1150 | 866 | 84% | 2024-01-28 | Lost |
| 1110 | 933 | 73% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 946 | 891 | 58% | 2021-05-30 | Lost |
| 1114 | 891 | 78% | 2020-05-30 | Won |
| 1071 | 1145 | 40% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
| 1219 | 933 | 84% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2017-07-16 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 956 | 1144 | 25% | 2017-01-30 | Won |
| 1191 | 1091 | 64% | 2016-06-18 | Won |
| 1052 | 1000 | 57% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1052 | 66% | 2015-04-26 | Won |
| 1220 | 1062 | 71% | 2015-01-16 | Won |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2013-10-20 | Won |
| 1028 | 1039 | 48% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1052 | 56% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 1177 | 1040 | 69% | 2008-09-22 | Won |
| 1154 | 957 | 76% | 2008-03-16 | Won |
| 1092 | 1041 | 57% | 2007-06-02 | Lost |
| 1277 | 1034 | 80% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1009 | 1200 | 25% | 2005-12-19 | Won |
| 928 | 1009 | 39% | 2004-05-15 | Lost |
| 993 | 1052 | 42% | 2002-12-01 | Won |
| 1277 | 1152 | 67% | 2001-10-03 | Won |
| 1127 | 1063 | 59% | 2001-09-16 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1088.2 vs 1021.1 has a 59.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).