The Lawless Roads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 126 (29 on the archive and 97 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 66
Defender wins (German): 60
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1117 | 50% | 2026-03-12 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1032 | 50% | 2026-02-23 | Won |
| 1076 | 1044 | 55% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1078 | 1017 | 59% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 1043 | 970 | 60% | 2023-06-27 | Lost |
| 950 | 1185 | 21% | 2023-06-26 | Won |
| 1021 | 1105 | 38% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
| 1004 | 1035 | 46% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
| 939 | 928 | 52% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
| 862 | 848 | 52% | 2023-05-25 | Won |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2022-12-20 | Won |
| 1182 | 1156 | 54% | 2020-06-09 | Won |
| 948 | 1087 | 31% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 992 | 994 | 50% | 2019-07-01 | Won |
| 1216 | 982 | 79% | 2017-11-01 | Won |
| 1084 | 869 | 78% | 2014-06-01 | Won |
| 960 | 1084 | 33% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1030 | 76% | 2013-12-20 | Won |
| 1002 | 1025 | 47% | 2013-11-10 | Won |
| 1056 | 1219 | 28% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2010-01-13 | Won |
| 1167 | 981 | 74% | 2010-01-12 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1025 | 59% | 2009-11-08 | Won |
| 1034 | 900 | 68% | 2006-07-29 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1208 | 53% | 2006-03-11 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1035 | 78% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 976 | 1011 | 45% | 2005-10-30 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1151 | 51% | 2004-02-03 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1092 | 44% | 2003-01-26 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1057.5 vs 1036.4 has a 53.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).