The Lawless Roads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 121 (24 on the archive and 97 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 63
Defender wins (German): 58
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1193 | 1012 | 74% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1103 | 1030 | 60% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 1043 | 970 | 60% | 2023-06-27 | Lost |
| 951 | 1169 | 22% | 2023-06-26 | Won |
| 1015 | 1105 | 37% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
| 1041 | 969 | 60% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
| 953 | 968 | 48% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
| 862 | 889 | 46% | 2023-05-25 | Won |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2022-12-20 | Won |
| 1256 | 937 | 86% | 2020-06-09 | Won |
| 949 | 741 | 77% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 893 | 1000 | 35% | 2019-07-01 | Won |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2017-11-01 | Won |
| 1051 | 870 | 74% | 2014-06-01 | Won |
| 958 | 1051 | 37% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1008 | 76% | 2013-12-20 | Won |
| 1052 | 1333 | 17% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2010-01-13 | Won |
| 1075 | 992 | 62% | 2010-01-12 | Lost |
| 1025 | 904 | 67% | 2006-07-29 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1204 | 51% | 2006-03-11 | Lost |
| 1284 | 1035 | 81% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 976 | 916 | 59% | 2005-10-30 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1092 | 54% | 2003-01-26 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1057 vs 1004.3 has a 57.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).