The Lawless Roads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 121 (24 on the archive and 97 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 64
Defender wins (German): 57
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1189 | 1019 | 73% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1090 | 1029 | 59% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 1043 | 970 | 60% | 2023-06-27 | Lost |
| 951 | 1142 | 25% | 2023-06-26 | Won |
| 1033 | 1105 | 40% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
| 1016 | 969 | 57% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
| 862 | 873 | 48% | 2023-05-25 | Won |
| 886 | 909 | 47% | 2022-12-20 | Won |
| 1268 | 949 | 86% | 2020-06-09 | Won |
| 946 | 949 | 50% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 898 | 999 | 36% | 2019-07-01 | Won |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2017-11-01 | Won |
| 1052 | 869 | 74% | 2014-06-01 | Won |
| 958 | 1052 | 37% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
| 1242 | 1008 | 79% | 2013-12-20 | Won |
| 1052 | 1329 | 17% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2010-01-13 | Won |
| 1044 | 992 | 57% | 2010-01-12 | Lost |
| 1025 | 904 | 67% | 2006-07-29 | Lost |
| 1242 | 1204 | 55% | 2006-03-11 | Lost |
| 1275 | 1034 | 80% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 976 | 932 | 56% | 2005-10-30 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1092 | 46% | 2003-01-26 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1053.5 vs 1011 has a 56.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).