The Lawless Roads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 123 (26 on the archive and 97 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 64
Defender wins (German): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1077 | 1077 | 50% | 2026-03-12 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1076 | 50% | 2026-02-23 | Won |
| 1162 | 1044 | 66% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1036 | 1017 | 53% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 1043 | 970 | 60% | 2023-06-27 | Lost |
| 950 | 1133 | 26% | 2023-06-26 | Won |
| 982 | 1105 | 33% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
| 999 | 1019 | 47% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
| 862 | 843 | 53% | 2023-05-25 | Won |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2022-12-20 | Won |
| 1206 | 954 | 81% | 2020-06-09 | Won |
| 948 | 982 | 45% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 998 | 995 | 50% | 2019-07-01 | Won |
| 1218 | 982 | 80% | 2017-11-01 | Won |
| 983 | 869 | 66% | 2014-06-01 | Won |
| 960 | 983 | 47% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1029 | 75% | 2013-12-20 | Won |
| 1056 | 1234 | 26% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2010-01-13 | Won |
| 1085 | 981 | 65% | 2010-01-12 | Lost |
| 1034 | 900 | 68% | 2006-07-29 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1208 | 52% | 2006-03-11 | Lost |
| 1260 | 1036 | 78% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 976 | 996 | 47% | 2005-10-30 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1092 | 40% | 2003-01-26 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1049.3 vs 1016.7 has a 54.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).