The Lawless Roads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 121 (24 on the archive and 97 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 64
Defender wins (German): 57
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1248 | 1225 | 53% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1117 | 1029 | 62% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 1044 | 968 | 61% | 2023-06-27 | Lost |
| 951 | 1142 | 25% | 2023-06-26 | Won |
| 1055 | 1105 | 43% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
| 1018 | 969 | 57% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
| 929 | 929 | 50% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
| 863 | 889 | 46% | 2023-05-25 | Won |
| 903 | 903 | 50% | 2022-12-20 | Won |
| 1257 | 949 | 85% | 2020-06-09 | Won |
| 943 | 959 | 48% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 869 | 999 | 32% | 2019-07-01 | Won |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2017-11-01 | Won |
| 1089 | 869 | 78% | 2014-06-01 | Won |
| 963 | 1089 | 33% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1014 | 81% | 2013-12-20 | Won |
| 1052 | 1310 | 18% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2010-01-13 | Won |
| 1031 | 993 | 55% | 2010-01-12 | Lost |
| 1025 | 906 | 66% | 2006-07-29 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1203 | 59% | 2006-03-11 | Lost |
| 1272 | 1029 | 80% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 976 | 920 | 58% | 2005-10-30 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1092 | 53% | 2003-01-26 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1060.2 vs 1018.7 has a 55.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).