Pavlov's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 1072 | 37% | 2025-08-24 | Won |
| 1050 | 981 | 60% | 2023-05-27 | Won |
| 1146 | 933 | 77% | 2022-01-01 | Won |
| 948 | 938 | 51% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
| 961 | 1002 | 44% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 961 | 1002 | 44% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 1002 | 961 | 56% | 2021-09-18 | Won |
| 1002 | 961 | 56% | 2021-09-18 | Won |
| 967 | 1058 | 37% | 2018-05-12 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1007 | 54% | 2016-03-02 | Lost |
| 850 | 858 | 49% | 2015-10-21 | Lost |
| 843 | 1022 | 26% | 2011-11-08 | Lost |
| 963 | 984 | 47% | 2011-08-30 | Won |
| 1101 | 891 | 77% | 2011-04-03 | Won |
| 1040 | 937 | 64% | 2009-08-01 | Won |
| 1234 | 1150 | 62% | 2008-03-15 | Won |
| 1056 | 1234 | 26% | 2006-02-17 | Lost |
| 938 | 1061 | 33% | 2004-05-10 | Lost |
| 910 | 975 | 41% | 2000-01-18 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 999.6 vs 1001.4 has a 49.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).