Pavlov's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 1070 | 38% | 2025-08-24 | Won |
| 1050 | 981 | 60% | 2023-05-27 | Won |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2022-01-01 | Won |
| 949 | 802 | 70% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2021-09-18 | Won |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2021-09-18 | Won |
| 968 | 1058 | 37% | 2018-05-12 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2016-03-02 | Lost |
| 846 | 855 | 49% | 2015-10-21 | Lost |
| 889 | 1002 | 34% | 2011-11-08 | Lost |
| 963 | 950 | 52% | 2011-08-30 | Won |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 2011-04-03 | Won |
| 1070 | 940 | 68% | 2009-08-01 | Won |
| 1333 | 996 | 87% | 2008-03-15 | Won |
| 1057 | 1333 | 17% | 2006-02-17 | Lost |
| 802 | 998 | 24% | 2004-05-10 | Lost |
| 878 | 1063 | 26% | 2000-01-18 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 993.9 vs 1002 has a 48.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).