Pavlov's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 6
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1039 | 42% | 2025-08-24 | Won |
| 1050 | 981 | 60% | 2023-05-27 | Won |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2022-01-01 | Won |
| 946 | 1027 | 39% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
| 1053 | 914 | 69% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 1053 | 914 | 69% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2021-09-18 | Won |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2021-09-18 | Won |
| 968 | 1058 | 37% | 2018-05-12 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1017 | 51% | 2016-03-02 | Lost |
| 846 | 855 | 49% | 2015-10-21 | Lost |
| 873 | 1002 | 32% | 2011-11-08 | Lost |
| 963 | 1209 | 20% | 2011-08-30 | Won |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 2011-04-03 | Won |
| 1118 | 940 | 74% | 2009-08-01 | Won |
| 1329 | 996 | 87% | 2008-03-15 | Won |
| 1055 | 1329 | 17% | 2006-02-17 | Lost |
| 846 | 1061 | 22% | 2000-01-18 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1002.6 vs 1020.6 has a 47.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).