Bloody Nose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (10 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Romanian): 44
Defender wins (Russian): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 954 | 50% | 2023-12-02 | Won |
1004 | 1020 | 48% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
980 | 974 | 51% | 2021-11-16 | Lost |
1037 | 1029 | 51% | 2019-04-24 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
1019 | 1131 | 34% | 2011-06-25 | Lost |
1028 | 1216 | 25% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
1008 | 1153 | 30% | 2011-06-05 | Lost |
1012 | 982 | 54% | 2009-07-26 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1016.6 vs 1061.6 has a 43.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).