Bloody Nose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (17 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Romanian): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 939 | 48% | 2023-12-02 | Won |
| 1069 | 994 | 61% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
| 1034 | 1008 | 54% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 953 | 54% | 2021-11-16 | Lost |
| 1037 | 984 | 58% | 2019-04-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 944 | 1120 | 27% | 2011-09-26 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1132 | 34% | 2011-06-25 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1218 | 25% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 1146 | 1130 | 52% | 2011-06-05 | Lost |
| 1197 | 1140 | 58% | 2009-08-15 | Won |
| 1013 | 982 | 54% | 2009-07-26 | Won |
| 1342 | 1010 | 87% | 2009-06-25 | Won |
| 1046 | 1030 | 52% | 2005-03-13 | Lost |
| 953 | 1060 | 35% | 2005-02-27 | Won |
| 1118 | 1342 | 22% | 2004-06-22 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1115 | 54% | 2004-04-23 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1063.9 vs 1073.2 has a 48.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).