On To Florence
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 10
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 903 | 65% | 2008-12-11 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2007-02-22 | Won |
| 1223 | 1122 | 64% | 2006-11-28 | Won |
| 1025 | 1020 | 51% | 2006-09-20 | Won |
| 1127 | 1032 | 63% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1154 | 1113 | 56% | 2005-06-11 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1100 | 56% | 2005-05-01 | Won |
| 1016 | 1189 | 27% | 2005-04-28 | Won |
| 1052 | 980 | 60% | 2005-04-25 | Tied |
| 1048 | 1060 | 48% | 2005-03-01 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2005-02-16 | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1082.3 vs 1059.3 has a 53.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).