The Hedgehog of Piepsk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (German): 18
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 970 | 50% | 2024-06-28 | Won |
| 1125 | 1125 | 50% | 2023-10-23 | Lost |
| 1288 | 1278 | 51% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2023-07-17 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1077 | 42% | 2023-05-29 | Won |
| 1081 | 1068 | 52% | 2023-05-22 | Won |
| 954 | 943 | 52% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
| 1155 | 1009 | 70% | 2022-12-15 | Won |
| 1111 | 1224 | 34% | 2021-12-30 | Won |
| 982 | 981 | 50% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 895 | 871 | 53% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
| 954 | 1111 | 29% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
| 917 | 1169 | 19% | 2020-06-29 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1225 | 22% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
| 988 | 1111 | 33% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1077 | 40% | 2019-04-24 | Lost |
| 981 | 1034 | 42% | 2019-02-11 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-02-27 | Lost |
| 1032 | 962 | 60% | 2017-09-09 | Lost |
| 981 | 1020 | 44% | 2017-03-10 | Lost |
| 1034 | 988 | 57% | 2015-05-19 | Won |
| 869 | 893 | 47% | 2014-10-19 | Lost |
| 1111 | 841 | 83% | 2013-08-26 | Lost |
| 964 | 962 | 50% | 2010-03-28 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1057 | 48% | 2007-12-29 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1131 | 64% | 2007-04-19 | Lost |
| 943 | 832 | 65% | 2006-07-11 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1025.1 vs 1036 has a 48.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).