The Hedgehog of Piepsk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (German): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
971 | 993 | 47% | 2024-06-28 | Won |
1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-10-23 | Lost |
1264 | 1282 | 47% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2023-07-17 | Lost |
1081 | 1055 | 54% | 2023-05-22 | Won |
996 | 963 | 55% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
1209 | 1009 | 76% | 2022-12-15 | Won |
1187 | 1224 | 45% | 2021-12-30 | Won |
1053 | 940 | 66% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
1053 | 940 | 66% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
895 | 913 | 47% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
951 | 1187 | 20% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
1218 | 1042 | 73% | 2020-07-21 | Lost |
917 | 970 | 42% | 2020-06-29 | Lost |
1008 | 1223 | 22% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
988 | 1187 | 24% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
1041 | 958 | 62% | 2019-04-24 | Lost |
908 | 1022 | 34% | 2019-02-11 | Lost |
1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-02-27 | Lost |
973 | 1011 | 45% | 2017-09-09 | Lost |
908 | 1020 | 34% | 2017-03-10 | Lost |
1037 | 1006 | 54% | 2015-05-19 | Won |
841 | 889 | 43% | 2014-10-19 | Lost |
1187 | 844 | 88% | 2013-08-26 | Lost |
964 | 1011 | 43% | 2010-03-28 | Lost |
1073 | 1076 | 50% | 2007-12-29 | Lost |
1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2007-04-19 | Lost |
943 | 832 | 65% | 2006-07-11 | Lost |
1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1038.1 vs 1032 has a 50.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).