The Hedgehog of Piepsk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 18
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2023-10-23 | Lost |
1334 | 1356 | 47% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2023-07-17 | Lost |
1081 | 979 | 64% | 2023-05-22 | Won |
942 | 943 | 50% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
997 | 1009 | 48% | 2022-12-15 | Won |
1104 | 1218 | 34% | 2021-12-30 | Won |
982 | 991 | 49% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
896 | 780 | 66% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
961 | 1104 | 31% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
917 | 1168 | 19% | 2020-06-29 | Lost |
1007 | 1225 | 22% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
989 | 1104 | 34% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
1046 | 1093 | 43% | 2019-04-24 | Lost |
1020 | 1032 | 48% | 2019-02-11 | Lost |
1012 | 970 | 56% | 2018-02-27 | Lost |
963 | 1019 | 42% | 2017-09-09 | Lost |
1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2017-03-10 | Lost |
992 | 1026 | 45% | 2015-05-19 | Won |
893 | 902 | 49% | 2014-10-19 | Lost |
1104 | 858 | 80% | 2013-08-26 | Lost |
964 | 1019 | 42% | 2010-03-28 | Lost |
1073 | 1107 | 45% | 2007-12-29 | Lost |
1227 | 1131 | 63% | 2007-04-19 | Lost |
943 | 832 | 65% | 2006-07-11 | Lost |
1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1023.3 vs 1039.4 has a 47.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).