Hill 621
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 282 (43 on the archive and 239 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 150
Defender wins (German): 130
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1264 | 1257 | 51% | 2025-03-17 | Won |
| 1094 | 1031 | 59% | 2024-02-15 | Won |
| 1085 | 1029 | 58% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 1049 | 991 | 58% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 974 | 1248 | 17% | 2023-10-03 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1067 | 57% | 2023-05-18 | Won |
| 1257 | 1018 | 80% | 2022-06-24 | Won |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
| 1223 | 1008 | 78% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
| 1219 | 1339 | 33% | 2020-04-10 | Lost |
| 1003 | 983 | 53% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
| 991 | 1142 | 30% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1016 | 69% | 2019-12-02 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1005 | 55% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
| 1257 | 1225 | 55% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 903 | 1050 | 30% | 2019-03-21 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2019-03-17 | Lost |
| 831 | 1088 | 19% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
| 952 | 899 | 58% | 2019-01-12 | Lost |
| 888 | 925 | 45% | 2018-08-06 | Won |
| 1044 | 949 | 63% | 2017-08-05 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1005 | 55% | 2016-01-17 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1016 | 69% | 2015-09-14 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1257 | 45% | 2014-06-23 | Won |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2013-06-23 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2013-06-23 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-04-24 | Won |
| 1058 | 976 | 62% | 2013-02-04 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1097 | 52% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1310 | 15% | 2009-11-12 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1005 | 58% | 2009-06-01 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1005 | 58% | 2009-06-01 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2009-03-30 | Lost |
| 1140 | 697 | 93% | 2009-03-28 | Won |
| 1031 | 1094 | 41% | 2008-10-25 | Won |
| 1412 | 1310 | 64% | 2006-09-13 | Won |
| 983 | 1037 | 42% | 2005-12-15 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1189 | 28% | 2005-06-10 | Won |
| 1010 | 1097 | 38% | 2005-05-06 | Lost |
| 928 | 875 | 58% | 2004-05-13 | Lost |
| 1031 | 912 | 66% | 1999-06-15 | Tied |
| 1248 | 1118 | 68% | 1995-06-11 | Won |
| 984 | 1044 | 41% | 1992-08-30 | Tied |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1075.4 vs 1061.7 has a 51.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).