The Bitche Salient
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (American): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 988 | 1070 | 38% | 2021-02-27 | Won |
| 942 | 900 | 56% | 2019-01-16 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1033 | 55% | 2016-08-21 | Won |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2015-05-22 | Won |
| 1054 | 988 | 59% | 2015-01-05 | Won |
| 1263 | 1150 | 66% | 1998-06-07 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1066 | 56% | 1994-12-17 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1093.1 vs 1049 has a 56.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).