The Bitche Salient
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 945 | 59% | 2021-02-27 | Won |
| 879 | 878 | 50% | 2019-01-16 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1038 | 68% | 2016-08-21 | Won |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2015-05-22 | Won |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2015-01-05 | Won |
| 1110 | 1204 | 37% | 1994-12-17 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1070.3 vs 1035.5 has a 55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).