Chance D'une Affaire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (French): 3
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2026-02-17 | Lost |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2022-02-04 | Won |
| 1102 | 903 | 76% | 2020-08-24 | Lost |
| 948 | 980 | 45% | 2019-12-08 | Won |
| 966 | 1072 | 35% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 892 | 1103 | 23% | 2008-10-10 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2000-05-11 | Won |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | 1999-04-23 | Lost |
| 982 | 1159 | 27% | 1996-06-28 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1022.1 vs 1004.9 has a 52.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).