Chance D'une Affaire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (French): 2
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2022-02-04 | Won |
| 1106 | 965 | 69% | 2020-08-24 | Lost |
| 943 | 1001 | 42% | 2019-12-08 | Won |
| 966 | 1086 | 33% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 892 | 1087 | 25% | 2008-10-10 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1128 | 45% | 1999-04-23 | Lost |
| 959 | 1122 | 28% | 1996-06-28 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 997 vs 1058.6 has a 41.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).