Rocket's Red Glare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 447 (65 on the archive and 382 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 236
Defender wins (German (SS)): 211
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1007 | 53% | 2026-04-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2024-12-08 | | Won |
| 890 | 1014 | 33% | 2024-02-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1030 | 46% | 2023-04-08 | | Lost |
| 992 | 967 | 54% | 2023-01-05 | | Won |
| 992 | 967 | 54% | 2023-01-05 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2022-08-20 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2022-02-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2021-08-26 | | Lost |
| 982 | 1272 | 16% | 2021-01-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2020-07-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1013 | 48% | 2020-04-24 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1048 | 54% | 2020-01-29 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1136 | 27% | 2019-11-08 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-11-08 | | Won |
| 1152 | 1080 | 60% | 2018-11-18 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2018-02-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2017-10-03 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2016-08-15 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2016-07-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2015-08-23 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 943 | 63% | 2015-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1022 | 66% | 2014-06-07 | | Won |
| 951 | 1147 | 24% | 2013-11-12 | | Won |
| 916 | 1051 | 31% | 2013-10-11 | | Lost |
| 891 | 1000 | 35% | 2013-05-12 | | Lost |
| 1220 | 945 | 83% | 2013-03-24 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2013-02-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1214 | 23% | 2011-04-02 | | Won |
| 1101 | 918 | 74% | 2011-04-02 | | Won |
| 1152 | 1087 | 59% | 2009-09-14 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2009-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1027 | 1036 | 49% | 2009-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1129 | 37% | 2008-08-24 | | Won |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2008-08-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1214 | 23% | 2008-05-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2008-05-04 | | Lost |
| 1144 | 881 | 82% | 2008-05-03 | | Won |
| 1087 | 1074 | 52% | 2008-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2008-04-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2007-10-05 | | Won |
| 1039 | 1209 | 27% | 2007-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1057 | 965 | 63% | 2006-10-27 | | Won |
| 1078 | 1151 | 40% | 2006-07-16 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2006-01-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2005-04-23 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2005-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2005-01-21 | | Won |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 2004-04-27 | | Won |
| 965 | 1000 | 45% | 2003-10-23 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1101 | 29% | 2003-04-26 | | Lost |
| 1179 | 1167 | 52% | 2001-01-27 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2001-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 959 | 56% | 2000-11-26 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 790 | 88% | 2000-11-21 | | Won |
| 995 | 1141 | 30% | 2000-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1054 | 42% | 2000-10-30 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2000-07-29 | | Won |
| 1018 | 1170 | 29% | 1998-04-18 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1170 | 29% | 1998-03-25 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1998-03-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 1997-07-31 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1102 | 59% | 1995-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 1993-08-13 | | Won |
Attacking (31 wins) average ELOs: 1044 vs 1049.6 has a 49.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).