Rocket's Red Glare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 444 (62 on the archive and 382 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 234
Defender wins (German (SS)): 210
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 896 | 896 | 50% | 2024-12-08 | Won |
| 896 | 998 | 36% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 980 | 1031 | 43% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 976 | 986 | 49% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
| 976 | 986 | 49% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
| 1014 | 1039 | 46% | 2022-08-20 | Won |
| 1086 | 1189 | 36% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
| 1035 | 1038 | 50% | 2021-08-26 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1256 | 26% | 2021-01-08 | Lost |
| 1134 | 941 | 75% | 2020-07-04 | Won |
| 999 | 1013 | 48% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1068 | 1048 | 53% | 2020-01-29 | Lost |
| 961 | 1096 | 31% | 2019-11-08 | Won |
| 1140 | 1198 | 42% | 2019-11-08 | Won |
| 1152 | 1079 | 60% | 2018-11-18 | Won |
| 1049 | 1037 | 52% | 2018-03-10 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1086 | 52% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 1151 | 1024 | 68% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1057 | 46% | 2016-08-15 | Lost |
| 1026 | 893 | 68% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1071 | 49% | 2015-08-23 | Lost |
| 1038 | 942 | 63% | 2015-05-25 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1022 | 55% | 2014-06-07 | Won |
| 951 | 1117 | 28% | 2013-11-12 | Won |
| 916 | 1024 | 35% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 891 | 956 | 41% | 2013-05-12 | Lost |
| 1220 | 958 | 82% | 2013-03-24 | Won |
| 948 | 931 | 52% | 2013-02-22 | Lost |
| 967 | 1186 | 22% | 2011-04-02 | Won |
| 1101 | 918 | 74% | 2011-04-02 | Won |
| 1152 | 1087 | 59% | 2009-09-14 | Lost |
| 1107 | 988 | 66% | 2009-03-30 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1041 | 48% | 2009-01-27 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1149 | 35% | 2008-08-24 | Won |
| 980 | 1105 | 33% | 2008-08-10 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1186 | 36% | 2008-05-09 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2008-05-04 | Lost |
| 1144 | 881 | 82% | 2008-05-03 | Won |
| 1086 | 1068 | 53% | 2008-04-27 | Lost |
| 966 | 1101 | 31% | 2008-04-05 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1283 | 41% | 2007-10-05 | Won |
| 1041 | 1209 | 28% | 2007-07-08 | Lost |
| 1057 | 959 | 64% | 2006-10-27 | Won |
| 945 | 955 | 49% | 2006-01-28 | Won |
| 974 | 945 | 54% | 2005-04-23 | Lost |
| 1068 | 980 | 62% | 2005-03-17 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1085 | 55% | 2005-01-21 | Won |
| 1228 | 1153 | 61% | 2004-04-27 | Won |
| 959 | 909 | 57% | 2003-10-23 | Lost |
| 947 | 1101 | 29% | 2003-04-26 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1173 | 41% | 2001-01-27 | Won |
| 1068 | 987 | 61% | 2001-01-27 | Lost |
| 1010 | 974 | 55% | 2000-11-26 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2000-11-21 | Won |
| 994 | 1140 | 30% | 2000-11-12 | Lost |
| 1173 | 986 | 75% | 2000-07-29 | Won |
| 1065 | 1170 | 35% | 1998-04-18 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1170 | 35% | 1998-03-25 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1029 | 81% | 1998-03-14 | Won |
| 969 | 1283 | 14% | 1997-07-31 | Won |
| 1173 | 1102 | 60% | 1995-10-11 | Lost |
| 1204 | 881 | 87% | 1993-08-13 | Won |
Attacking (29 wins) average ELOs: 1054.5 vs 1045.4 has a 51.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).