Rocket's Red Glare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 447 (65 on the archive and 382 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 236
Defender wins (German (SS)): 211
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1061 | 1007 | 58% | 2026-04-05 | Lost |
| 895 | 890 | 51% | 2024-12-08 | Won |
| 890 | 1014 | 33% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1031 | 54% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 1011 | 959 | 57% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
| 1011 | 959 | 57% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
| 1036 | 1039 | 50% | 2022-08-20 | Won |
| 1152 | 1188 | 45% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
| 1035 | 1038 | 50% | 2021-08-26 | Lost |
| 952 | 1182 | 21% | 2021-01-08 | Lost |
| 1134 | 940 | 75% | 2020-07-04 | Won |
| 999 | 1013 | 48% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1060 | 1048 | 52% | 2020-01-29 | Lost |
| 961 | 1126 | 28% | 2019-11-08 | Won |
| 1141 | 1198 | 42% | 2019-11-08 | Won |
| 1152 | 1080 | 60% | 2018-11-18 | Won |
| 1082 | 1060 | 53% | 2018-03-10 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1152 | 43% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 1152 | 1084 | 60% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
| 951 | 1056 | 35% | 2016-08-15 | Lost |
| 951 | 891 | 59% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1070 | 49% | 2015-08-23 | Lost |
| 1038 | 943 | 63% | 2015-05-25 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1022 | 60% | 2014-06-07 | Won |
| 951 | 1146 | 25% | 2013-11-12 | Won |
| 916 | 1084 | 28% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 891 | 956 | 41% | 2013-05-12 | Lost |
| 1221 | 945 | 83% | 2013-03-24 | Won |
| 948 | 931 | 52% | 2013-02-22 | Lost |
| 967 | 1179 | 23% | 2011-04-02 | Won |
| 1101 | 937 | 72% | 2011-04-02 | Won |
| 1152 | 1087 | 59% | 2009-09-14 | Lost |
| 1107 | 988 | 66% | 2009-03-30 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1036 | 49% | 2009-01-27 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1128 | 36% | 2008-08-24 | Won |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2008-08-10 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1179 | 37% | 2008-05-09 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2008-05-04 | Lost |
| 1144 | 881 | 82% | 2008-05-03 | Won |
| 1087 | 1060 | 54% | 2008-04-27 | Lost |
| 967 | 1101 | 32% | 2008-04-05 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1263 | 44% | 2007-10-05 | Won |
| 1031 | 1209 | 26% | 2007-07-08 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1011 | 57% | 2006-10-27 | Won |
| 1077 | 1151 | 40% | 2006-07-16 | Won |
| 1156 | 957 | 76% | 2006-01-28 | Won |
| 974 | 1156 | 26% | 2005-04-23 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1061 | 50% | 2005-03-17 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1086 | 56% | 2005-01-21 | Won |
| 1233 | 1153 | 61% | 2004-04-27 | Won |
| 1011 | 908 | 64% | 2003-10-23 | Lost |
| 948 | 1101 | 29% | 2003-04-26 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1119 | 56% | 2001-01-27 | Won |
| 1060 | 987 | 60% | 2001-01-27 | Lost |
| 1010 | 959 | 57% | 2000-11-26 | Lost |
| 1141 | 777 | 89% | 2000-11-21 | Won |
| 995 | 1141 | 30% | 2000-11-12 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1025 | 55% | 2000-10-30 | Won |
| 1119 | 986 | 68% | 2000-07-29 | Won |
| 1029 | 1170 | 31% | 1998-04-18 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1170 | 31% | 1998-03-25 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1032 | 79% | 1998-03-14 | Won |
| 969 | 1263 | 16% | 1997-07-31 | Won |
| 1119 | 1102 | 52% | 1995-10-11 | Lost |
| 1080 | 881 | 76% | 1993-08-13 | Won |
Attacking (31 wins) average ELOs: 1054.3 vs 1053 has a 50.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).