Recon in Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 138 (26 on the archive and 112 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 72
Defender wins (Italian / German): 66
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1068 | 1019 | 57% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 1080 | 913 | 72% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 1010 | 998 | 52% | 2020-09-28 | Won |
| 1220 | 1220 | 50% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
| 947 | 937 | 51% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 998 | 958 | 56% | 2018-02-23 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1016 | 48% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
| 1187 | 1218 | 46% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1189 | 1218 | 46% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 979 | 1065 | 38% | 2017-01-17 | Won |
| 943 | 1141 | 24% | 2014-11-15 | Lost |
| 1060 | 928 | 68% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
| 930 | 1073 | 31% | 2014-10-14 | Lost |
| 928 | 1060 | 32% | 2014-09-30 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1102 | 53% | 2014-09-15 | Won |
| 951 | 1071 | 33% | 2013-12-08 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1292 | 46% | 2001-10-28 | Won |
| 1003 | 1215 | 23% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1070 | 49% | 2001-06-04 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 1999-09-01 | Won |
| 1034 | 1159 | 33% | 1998-12-21 | Lost |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 1998-04-17 | Won |
| 984 | 1056 | 40% | 1994-05-30 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1034.4 vs 1077 has a 43.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).