Recon in Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 139 (27 on the archive and 112 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 73
Defender wins (Italian / German): 66
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 1020 | 60% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 1080 | 913 | 72% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 1010 | 1005 | 51% | 2020-09-28 | Won |
| 1225 | 1238 | 48% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
| 909 | 937 | 46% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 999 | 958 | 56% | 2018-02-23 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1016 | 48% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
| 1172 | 1217 | 44% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1113 | 1217 | 35% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 954 | 1097 | 31% | 2017-01-17 | Won |
| 943 | 1140 | 24% | 2014-11-15 | Lost |
| 1060 | 928 | 68% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
| 930 | 1073 | 31% | 2014-10-14 | Lost |
| 928 | 1060 | 32% | 2014-09-30 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1102 | 51% | 2014-09-15 | Won |
| 951 | 1071 | 33% | 2013-12-08 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1156 | 49% | 2004-11-05 | Won |
| 1263 | 1292 | 46% | 2001-10-28 | Won |
| 1065 | 1214 | 30% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1070 | 49% | 2001-06-04 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 1999-09-01 | Won |
| 1034 | 1127 | 37% | 1998-12-21 | Lost |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 1998-04-17 | Won |
| 984 | 1008 | 47% | 1994-05-30 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1000 | 63% | | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1039.9 vs 1081.6 has a 44.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).