Recon in Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 134 (22 on the archive and 112 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 69
Defender wins (Italian / German): 65
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1018 | 49% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 1074 | 908 | 72% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 1009 | 870 | 69% | 2020-09-28 | Won |
| 1233 | 1270 | 45% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
| 975 | 937 | 55% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 1062 | 956 | 65% | 2018-02-23 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1016 | 50% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
| 1164 | 1221 | 42% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1223 | 1221 | 50% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1051 | 993 | 58% | 2017-01-17 | Won |
| 948 | 1151 | 24% | 2014-11-15 | Lost |
| 929 | 1094 | 28% | 2014-10-14 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1092 | 59% | 2014-09-15 | Won |
| 951 | 1066 | 34% | 2013-12-08 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1090 | 44% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1001 | 57% | 2001-06-04 | Won |
| 1034 | 1111 | 39% | 1998-12-21 | Lost |
| 712 | 1151 | 7% | 1998-04-17 | Won |
| 984 | 1002 | 47% | 1994-05-30 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1079 | 1000 | 61% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1039.7 vs 1060.6 has a 46.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).