Recon in Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (19 on the archive and 112 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 67
Defender wins (Italian / German): 64
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1018 | 49% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 1075 | 908 | 72% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 1009 | 869 | 69% | 2020-09-28 | Won |
| 1257 | 1264 | 49% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
| 929 | 937 | 49% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 1003 | 956 | 57% | 2018-02-23 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1016 | 50% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
| 1248 | 1219 | 54% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1154 | 1219 | 41% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1039 | 1005 | 55% | 2017-01-17 | Won |
| 926 | 1125 | 24% | 2014-10-14 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1095 | 58% | 2014-09-15 | Won |
| 951 | 1066 | 34% | 2013-12-08 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1088 | 43% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1136 | 36% | 1998-12-21 | Lost |
| 984 | 1044 | 41% | 1994-05-30 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1121 | 49% | | Lost |
| 1117 | 1000 | 66% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1060.2 vs 1061.8 has a 49.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).