Alligator Creek
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (Japanese): 4
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2021-02-28 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2021-02-28 | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2020-10-01 | Won |
| 1037 | 947 | 63% | 2017-08-20 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-11-18 | Won |
| 933 | 1146 | 23% | 2004-02-14 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1053 | 65% | 2000-11-20 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1065.7 vs 1041.6 has a 53.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).