GOYA
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (9 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2024-01-31 | Won |
| 943 | 1016 | 40% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
| 845 | 1062 | 22% | 2019-06-03 | Lost |
| 1051 | 993 | 58% | 2017-08-09 | Won |
| 989 | 943 | 57% | 2015-01-01 | Lost |
| 694 | 1109 | 8% | 2012-09-22 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1087 | 52% | 2006-08-23 | Won |
| 906 | 1223 | 14% | 2001-12-13 | Won |
| 1106 | 1092 | 52% | 2001-11-18 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 976.2 vs 1075.2 has a 36.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).