The Awakening of Spring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (11 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1025 | 999 | 54% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
| 904 | 1055 | 30% | 2018-11-28 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1189 | 27% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1226 | 35% | 2014-04-27 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1183 | 37% | 2011-08-08 | Lost |
| 1085 | 968 | 66% | 2009-11-24 | Won |
| 1141 | 882 | 82% | 2008-09-20 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1005 | 65% | 2004-04-12 | Won |
| 1160 | 1197 | 45% | 1997-03-01 | Won |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Won |
| 966 | 1036 | 40% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1059.3 vs 1068.9 has a 48.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).