The Awakening of Spring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (11 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2022-04-09 | | Won |
| 904 | 1055 | 30% | 2018-11-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 2017-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2014-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2011-08-08 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2009-11-24 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2008-09-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2004-04-12 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 1997-03-01 | | Won |
| 1070 | 1000 | 60% | | | Won |
| 967 | 1070 | 36% | | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1031.7 vs 1054.6 has a 46.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).