Going To Church
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (19 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 28
Defender wins (German (SS)): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2024-12-19 | | Lost |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2022-11-18 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1000 | 78% | 2017-10-16 | | Won |
| 1010 | 983 | 54% | 2016-11-11 | | Won |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2015-12-15 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1129 | 36% | 2011-10-30 | | Won |
| 919 | 1101 | 26% | 2011-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 988 | 58% | 2010-06-25 | | Lost |
| 913 | 1083 | 27% | 2009-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 1000 | 82% | 2008-07-26 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1233 | 36% | 2007-03-26 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2007-01-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2004-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 940 | 84% | 2004-04-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1109 | 35% | 2000-07-16 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2000-06-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 1999-12-26 | | Lost |
| 1025 | 986 | 56% | 1999-11-12 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1064 | 45% | 1999-08-29 | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1052.9 vs 1047.4 has a 50.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).