Gavin Take
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 1109 | 47% | 2022-12-14 | Lost |
| 1016 | 994 | 53% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1094 | 1045 | 57% | 2015-02-03 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1105 | 47% | 2014-12-18 | Won |
| 952 | 1040 | 38% | 2013-09-14 | Won |
| 856 | 1133 | 17% | 1995-05-31 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1092 | 46% | 1994-05-28 | Won |
| 866 | 1029 | 28% | 1988-03-06 | Lost |
| 866 | 1029 | 28% | 1988-03-06 | Won |
| 994 | 1029 | 45% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 996.1 vs 1056.4 has a 41.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).