Gavin Take
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 538 (12 on the archive and 526 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 267
Defender wins (German): 271
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1066 | 1088 | 47% | 2022-12-14 | Lost |
937 | 993 | 42% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
984 | 984 | 50% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
1115 | 1047 | 60% | 2015-02-03 | Lost |
1087 | 1183 | 37% | 2014-12-18 | Won |
953 | 1058 | 35% | 2013-09-14 | Won |
856 | 1142 | 16% | 1995-05-31 | Lost |
1087 | 1112 | 46% | 1994-05-28 | Won |
865 | 1083 | 22% | 1988-03-06 | Lost |
865 | 1083 | 22% | 1988-03-06 | Won |
994 | 1083 | 37% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 995 vs 1082.3 has a 37.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).