Gavin Take
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 546 (13 on the archive and 533 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 271
Defender wins (German): 275
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 2022-12-14 | | Lost |
| 1004 | 1000 | 51% | 2022-07-13 | | Lost |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-03-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2020-06-20 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2015-02-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2014-12-18 | | Won |
| 953 | 1039 | 38% | 2013-09-14 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 1998-11-15 | | Won |
| 866 | 1100 | 21% | 1995-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1063 | 1000 | 59% | 1994-05-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 1988-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 1988-03-06 | | Won |
| 992 | 1098 | 35% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1000.8 vs 1061.2 has a 41.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).