The Puma Prowls
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 408 (11 on the archive and 397 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 194
Defender wins (German): 214
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 1040 | 55% | 2022-11-19 | Lost |
| 1040 | 841 | 76% | 2022-06-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-04-03 | Won |
| 1107 | 975 | 68% | 2013-02-07 | Won |
| 1226 | 1094 | 68% | 2011-09-27 | Won |
| 1084 | 1127 | 44% | 2009-11-27 | Won |
| 1037 | 1060 | 47% | 2006-08-05 | Won |
| 1026 | 987 | 56% | 1999-12-27 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1043 | 48% | 1999-12-27 | Won |
| 1046 | 950 | 63% | 1997-07-11 | Won |
| 873 | 1097 | 22% | 1997-06-06 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1057.1 vs 1027.5 has a 54.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).