The Puma Prowls
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 408 (11 on the archive and 397 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 194
Defender wins (German): 214
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-11-19 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-06-24 | Won |
| 1005 | 1005 | 50% | 2022-04-03 | Won |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2013-02-07 | Won |
| 1025 | 1009 | 52% | 2011-09-27 | Won |
| 1067 | 1171 | 35% | 2009-11-27 | Won |
| 1037 | 991 | 57% | 2006-08-05 | Won |
| 1032 | 987 | 56% | 1999-12-27 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1043 | 48% | 1999-12-27 | Won |
| 1016 | 1002 | 52% | 1997-07-11 | Won |
| 873 | 1043 | 27% | 1997-06-06 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1009.3 vs 1022.8 has a 48.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).