Hill 253.5
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 173 (10 on the archive and 163 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 79
Defender wins (Russian): 94
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 1111 | 47% | 2026-10-03 | | Won |
| 1087 | 1074 | 52% | 2009-05-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2008-04-05 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2006-04-15 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2005-08-24 | | Won |
| 1007 | 1209 | 24% | 2003-08-31 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2003-04-26 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1196 | 32% | 2003-04-05 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1999-03-05 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 1998-07-15 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1058.5 vs 1069.1 has a 48.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).