Hill 253.5
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 171 (9 on the archive and 162 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 77
Defender wins (Russian): 94
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 1060 | 54% | 2009-05-17 | Won |
| 893 | 1101 | 23% | 2008-04-05 | Won |
| 1101 | 1050 | 57% | 2006-04-15 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1071 | 48% | 2005-08-24 | Won |
| 1030 | 1209 | 26% | 2003-08-31 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1077 | 48% | 2003-04-26 | Won |
| 1070 | 1109 | 44% | 2003-04-05 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 1999-03-05 | Won |
| 1029 | 913 | 66% | 1998-07-15 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1047.9 vs 1076.1 has a 45.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).