The Niscemi-Biscari Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 179 (28 on the archive and 152 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 99
Defender wins (American ): 79
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American ): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 906 | 890 | 52% | 2023-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2019-08-17 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-01-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2017-04-07 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 961 | 81% | 2016-10-05 | | Won |
| 1095 | 983 | 66% | 2016-10-05 | | Won |
| 1075 | 992 | 62% | 2016-08-29 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1017 | 51% | 2015-11-06 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 1075 | 44% | 2014-10-18 | D | Won |
| 1022 | 841 | 74% | 2013-06-17 | | Won |
| 1018 | 1101 | 38% | 2013-03-16 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2013-02-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2008-12-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2008-02-12 | | Won |
| 1435 | 1000 | 92% | 2006-09-08 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2006-08-31 | | Tied |
| 1140 | 1010 | 68% | 2006-06-22 | | Won |
| 1054 | 1101 | 43% | 2005-04-30 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2005-04-17 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1151 | 60% | 2005-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1344 | 1023 | 86% | 2002-04-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2001-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2001-01-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 1999-06-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 1998-11-22 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 1998-01-05 | | Won |
| 1096 | 1000 | 63% | 1996-07-30 | | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1088.4 vs 1020.8 has a 59.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).