The Niscemi-Biscari Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (American ): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American ): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 918 | 875 | 56% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 1074 | 908 | 72% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
| 1055 | 1098 | 44% | 2019-03-03 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 902 | 1109 | 23% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1219 | 980 | 80% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1028 | 982 | 57% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1183 | 893 | 84% | 2016-08-29 | Lost |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2015-11-06 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1183 | 30% | 2014-10-18 | Won |
| 1002 | 889 | 66% | 2013-06-17 | Won |
| 1018 | 1100 | 38% | 2013-03-16 | Won |
| 1109 | 902 | 77% | 2013-02-18 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1117 | 37% | 2008-12-08 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1035 | 64% | 2008-02-12 | Won |
| 1416 | 885 | 96% | 2006-09-08 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1056 | 83% | 2006-08-31 | Tied |
| 1139 | 985 | 71% | 2006-06-22 | Won |
| 1033 | 1100 | 40% | 2005-04-30 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2005-04-17 | Won |
| 1333 | 996 | 87% | 2005-04-10 | Lost |
| 910 | 938 | 46% | 2001-10-28 | Lost |
| 1068 | 989 | 61% | 2001-01-28 | Won |
| 932 | 1139 | 23% | 1999-06-05 | Won |
| 1005 | 1152 | 30% | 1998-11-22 | Won |
| 1089 | 1014 | 61% | 1998-01-05 | Won |
| 1123 | 1103 | 53% | 1996-07-30 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1086 vs 1022.4 has a 59.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).