The Niscemi-Biscari Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (American ): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American ): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 906 | 891 | 52% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 1080 | 913 | 72% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
| 1058 | 1089 | 46% | 2019-03-03 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 998 | 1131 | 32% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1218 | 961 | 81% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1029 | 982 | 57% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1074 | 1005 | 60% | 2016-08-29 | Lost |
| 1099 | 944 | 71% | 2015-11-06 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1074 | 47% | 2014-10-18 | Won |
| 1022 | 866 | 71% | 2013-06-17 | Won |
| 1018 | 1101 | 38% | 2013-03-16 | Won |
| 1131 | 998 | 68% | 2013-02-18 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1118 | 37% | 2008-12-08 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1035 | 64% | 2008-02-12 | Won |
| 1430 | 882 | 96% | 2006-09-08 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1056 | 72% | 2006-08-31 | Tied |
| 1175 | 1010 | 72% | 2006-06-22 | Won |
| 1054 | 1101 | 43% | 2005-04-30 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2005-04-17 | Won |
| 1223 | 1149 | 60% | 2005-04-10 | Lost |
| 1343 | 1023 | 86% | 2002-04-27 | Won |
| 908 | 1030 | 33% | 2001-10-28 | Lost |
| 1060 | 989 | 60% | 2001-01-28 | Won |
| 932 | 983 | 43% | 1999-06-05 | Won |
| 1003 | 1141 | 31% | 1998-11-22 | Won |
| 1080 | 1190 | 35% | 1998-01-05 | Won |
| 1159 | 1103 | 58% | 1996-07-30 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1093.9 vs 1033.9 has a 58.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).