The Niscemi-Biscari Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (American ): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American ): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 918 | 892 | 54% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 1074 | 908 | 72% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
| 1055 | 1030 | 54% | 2019-03-03 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 1010 | 1143 | 32% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1221 | 979 | 80% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1037 | 982 | 58% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1193 | 870 | 87% | 2016-08-29 | Lost |
| 1045 | 999 | 57% | 2015-11-06 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1193 | 31% | 2014-10-18 | Won |
| 1002 | 873 | 68% | 2013-06-17 | Won |
| 1018 | 1100 | 38% | 2013-03-16 | Won |
| 1143 | 1010 | 68% | 2013-02-18 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1117 | 37% | 2008-12-08 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1028 | 65% | 2008-02-12 | Won |
| 1413 | 885 | 95% | 2006-09-08 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1055 | 82% | 2006-08-31 | Tied |
| 1033 | 1100 | 40% | 2005-04-30 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2005-04-17 | Won |
| 1313 | 996 | 86% | 2005-04-10 | Lost |
| 911 | 905 | 51% | 2001-10-28 | Lost |
| 1039 | 989 | 57% | 2001-01-28 | Won |
| 932 | 1058 | 33% | 1999-06-05 | Won |
| 945 | 1152 | 23% | 1998-11-22 | Won |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 1998-01-05 | Won |
| 1115 | 1100 | 52% | 1996-07-30 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1083.8 vs 1021.6 has a 58.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).