The Niscemi-Biscari Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 174 (22 on the archive and 152 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 95
Defender wins (American ): 78
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
987 | 858 | 68% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
1055 | 915 | 69% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2019-03-03 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
1204 | 1144 | 59% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
1284 | 956 | 87% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
1063 | 980 | 62% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
1109 | 890 | 78% | 2016-08-29 | Lost |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2015-11-06 | Lost |
1016 | 1109 | 37% | 2014-10-18 | Won |
1003 | 879 | 67% | 2013-06-17 | Won |
1018 | 1097 | 39% | 2013-03-16 | Won |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2013-02-18 | Lost |
1029 | 1095 | 41% | 2008-12-08 | Lost |
1207 | 1030 | 73% | 2008-02-12 | Won |
1360 | 1009 | 88% | 2006-09-08 | Won |
1307 | 1226 | 61% | 2006-08-31 | Tied |
1033 | 1097 | 41% | 2005-04-30 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2005-04-17 | Won |
1307 | 979 | 87% | 2005-04-10 | Lost |
912 | 994 | 38% | 2001-10-28 | Lost |
1142 | 1093 | 57% | 1996-07-30 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1111.6 vs 1039.3 has a 60.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).