Devil's Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 178 (23 on the archive and 155 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 95
Defender wins (German): 83
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 824 | 1175 | 12% | 2025-12-23 | Lost |
| 869 | 917 | 43% | 2025-02-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-11-07 | Lost |
| 1046 | 938 | 65% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1049 | 51% | 2019-02-01 | Won |
| 942 | 988 | 43% | 2018-03-30 | Won |
| 1089 | 1080 | 51% | 2017-11-26 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1037 | 46% | 2016-06-13 | Lost |
| 850 | 873 | 47% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
| 850 | 873 | 47% | 2015-04-14 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2012-02-21 | Won |
| 969 | 1036 | 40% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1140 | 57% | 2004-09-18 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1019 | 75% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1159 | 45% | 2001-01-26 | Won |
| 1060 | 987 | 60% | 2001-01-26 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1060 | 51% | 2001-01-22 | Lost |
| 986 | 1159 | 27% | 2000-12-28 | Won |
| 1125 | 1140 | 48% | 1999-10-06 | Won |
| 1264 | 1026 | 80% | 1998-03-29 | Won |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
| 834 | 1036 | 24% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1022 vs 1035.1 has a 48.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).