Devil's Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 176 (21 on the archive and 155 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 94
Defender wins (German): 82
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 882 | 917 | 45% | 2025-02-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-11-07 | Lost |
| 1026 | 938 | 62% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1049 | 51% | 2019-02-01 | Won |
| 925 | 988 | 41% | 2018-03-30 | Won |
| 1089 | 1074 | 52% | 2017-11-26 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2016-06-13 | Lost |
| 846 | 869 | 47% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
| 846 | 869 | 47% | 2015-04-14 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2012-02-21 | Won |
| 969 | 1035 | 41% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1152 | 55% | 2004-09-18 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1028 | 73% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1127 | 50% | 2001-01-26 | Won |
| 1063 | 985 | 61% | 2001-01-26 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1063 | 51% | 2001-01-22 | Lost |
| 987 | 1127 | 31% | 2000-12-28 | Won |
| 1112 | 1152 | 44% | 1999-10-06 | Won |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Lost |
| 830 | 1103 | 17% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1020.9 vs 1032.6 has a 48.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).