Gambit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (17 on the archive and 83 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 31
Defender wins (German): 68
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1124 | 1112 | 52% | 2025-04-27 | Won |
| 1112 | 1124 | 48% | 2025-03-30 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1112 | 52% | 2025-02-16 | Won |
| 764 | 982 | 22% | 2024-03-25 | Lost |
| 946 | 764 | 74% | 2020-08-08 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1096 | 53% | 2017-06-01 | Lost |
| 857 | 1127 | 17% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2015-10-14 | Lost |
| 1001 | 998 | 50% | 2014-02-14 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1062 | 48% | 2010-01-01 | Won |
| 1329 | 1153 | 73% | 2007-09-22 | Won |
| 966 | 1034 | 40% | 2005-06-29 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2005-05-20 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1034 | 54% | 2002-12-07 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1189 | 34% | 1998-10-25 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1042.4 vs 1056.1 has a 48.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).