Strayer's Strays
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37
Attacker wins (American): 15
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 984 | 1039 | 42% | 2022-12-30 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1014 | 49% | 2022-01-10 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1046 | 47% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 1046 | 1024 | 53% | 2021-09-26 | Lost |
| 970 | 1068 | 36% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1100 | 888 | 77% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1105 | 70% | 2020-09-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-06-28 | Won |
| 1136 | 1174 | 45% | 2018-11-09 | Lost |
| 908 | 1049 | 31% | 2018-05-01 | Won |
| 938 | 1158 | 22% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 1026 | 994 | 55% | 2017-06-02 | Won |
| 938 | 1158 | 22% | 2017-04-04 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1075 | 48% | 2017-03-10 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1139 | 66% | 2017-03-06 | Won |
| 991 | 1052 | 41% | 2017-01-15 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1025 | 48% | 2017-01-12 | Lost |
| 938 | 1158 | 22% | 2017-01-01 | Won |
| 1025 | 1011 | 52% | 2016-11-24 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1077 | 50% | 2016-09-28 | Won |
| 1040 | 1107 | 40% | 2016-06-16 | Lost |
| 987 | 853 | 68% | 2015-12-08 | Lost |
| 987 | 853 | 68% | 2015-12-08 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1226 | 42% | 2015-07-25 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1022 | 50% | 2015-07-22 | Won |
| 1138 | 984 | 71% | 2014-02-08 | Won |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2011-12-01 | Lost |
| 1098 | 942 | 71% | 2011-01-14 | Won |
| 984 | 1078 | 37% | 2010-03-31 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1024 | 60% | 2010-02-19 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1019 | 56% | 2004-01-20 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1034 | 51% | 2001-04-22 | Won |
| 1041 | 1109 | 40% | 1999-06-22 | Won |
| 986 | 1173 | 25% | 1998-08-23 | Lost |
| 929 | 1068 | 31% | 1998-06-12 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1303 | 16% | 1996-09-01 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1041.9 vs 1062.4 has a 47.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).