Strayer's Strays
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37
Attacker wins (American): 15
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 971 | 1030 | 42% | 2022-12-30 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1055 | 43% | 2022-01-10 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1051 | 53% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 1051 | 1074 | 47% | 2021-09-26 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1100 | 970 | 68% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1072 | 67% | 2020-09-02 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2020-06-28 | Won |
| 1135 | 1146 | 48% | 2018-11-09 | Lost |
| 908 | 1032 | 33% | 2018-05-01 | Won |
| 983 | 1158 | 27% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 909 | 994 | 38% | 2017-06-02 | Won |
| 983 | 1158 | 27% | 2017-04-04 | Lost |
| 1110 | 962 | 70% | 2017-03-10 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1152 | 72% | 2017-03-06 | Won |
| 999 | 1045 | 43% | 2017-01-15 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1025 | 48% | 2017-01-12 | Lost |
| 983 | 1158 | 27% | 2017-01-01 | Won |
| 1025 | 1011 | 52% | 2016-11-24 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1065 | 51% | 2016-09-28 | Won |
| 1039 | 1096 | 42% | 2016-06-16 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-08 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-08 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1223 | 42% | 2015-07-25 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1022 | 50% | 2015-07-22 | Won |
| 1138 | 984 | 71% | 2014-02-08 | Won |
| 1015 | 999 | 52% | 2011-12-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 948 | 70% | 2011-01-14 | Won |
| 985 | 986 | 50% | 2010-03-31 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1074 | 53% | 2010-02-19 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1019 | 55% | 2004-01-20 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1034 | 53% | 2001-04-22 | Won |
| 1058 | 1127 | 40% | 1999-06-22 | Won |
| 987 | 1115 | 32% | 1998-08-23 | Lost |
| 929 | 1039 | 35% | 1998-06-12 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1247 | 23% | 1996-09-01 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1046.5 vs 1053.6 has a 48.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).