Clearing Colleville
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 313 (128 on the archive and 186 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 150
Defender wins (German): 162
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1049 | 1000 | 57% | 2026-08-06 | Won | |
| 1049 | 1000 | 57% | 2026-04-11 | Won | |
| 954 | 1047 | 37% | 2026-03-13 | Won | |
| 1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2026-02-28 | Lost | |
| 1047 | 954 | 63% | 2026-02-15 | D | Lost |
| 1028 | 1000 | 54% | 2025-12-10 | Won | |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2025-10-26 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1090 | 37% | 2025-09-03 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2024-09-02 | Lost | |
| 699 | 923 | 22% | 2024-08-17 | Won | |
| 986 | 1000 | 48% | 2024-08-14 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 910 | 63% | 2023-11-20 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1142 | 31% | 2023-11-11 | Won | |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2023-11-05 | Won | |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2023-09-03 | Lost | |
| 984 | 989 | 49% | 2023-06-22 | Lost | |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2023-06-16 | Won | |
| 957 | 1000 | 44% | 2023-06-10 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 878 | 67% | 2023-06-06 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1288 | 16% | 2023-04-23 | Lost | |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2023-04-18 | Won | |
| 1144 | 1000 | 70% | 2023-02-18 | Won | |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2022-12-15 | Lost | |
| 890 | 997 | 35% | 2022-10-08 | Lost | |
| 970 | 1000 | 46% | 2022-09-14 | Won | |
| 1000 | 970 | 54% | 2022-06-30 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2022-06-25 | Lost | |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2022-05-02 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2022-04-13 | Lost | |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2022-04-10 | Won | |
| 878 | 1000 | 33% | 2021-12-26 | Lost | |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2021-12-22 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 979 | 53% | 2021-12-13 | Lost | |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-10-10 | Won | |
| 994 | 1187 | 25% | 2021-04-04 | Lost | |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-03-21 | Won | |
| 1006 | 984 | 53% | 2021-03-11 | Won | |
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-02-07 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2021-02-03 | Lost | |
| 1092 | 1000 | 63% | 2021-01-24 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1012 | 48% | 2020-12-05 | Lost | |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2020-12-03 | Lost | |
| 1140 | 945 | 75% | 2020-11-17 | Lost | |
| 1028 | 1000 | 54% | 2020-10-15 | Won | |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2020-09-19 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2020-09-10 | Lost | |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-08-14 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2020-07-06 | Lost | |
| 1164 | 890 | 83% | 2020-06-25 | Won | |
| 1164 | 890 | 83% | 2020-06-25 | Won | |
| 996 | 1211 | 22% | 2020-06-12 | Lost | |
| 890 | 996 | 35% | 2020-06-12 | Lost | |
| 890 | 996 | 35% | 2020-06-12 | Lost | |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2020-06-03 | Won | |
| 985 | 996 | 48% | 2020-06-02 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1172 | 27% | 2020-04-21 | Won | |
| 1220 | 1000 | 78% | 2020-04-04 | Won | |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2019-12-13 | Lost | |
| 982 | 1431 | 7% | 2019-09-21 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2019-07-09 | Won | |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2019-07-09 | Won | |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2019-07-09 | Won | |
| 945 | 1123 | 26% | 2019-06-18 | Lost | |
| 1016 | 1046 | 46% | 2019-01-02 | Lost | |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2018-09-02 | Won | |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2018-08-22 | Lost | |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-11-12 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2017-09-13 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1142 | 31% | 2017-06-06 | Won | |
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2017-05-14 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1142 | 31% | 2017-05-08 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1142 | 31% | 2017-05-08 | Lost | |
| 1211 | 1000 | 77% | 2017-03-18 | Won | |
| 894 | 1075 | 26% | 2016-12-17 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 888 | 66% | 2016-08-03 | Lost | |
| 888 | 1000 | 34% | 2016-07-25 | Tied | |
| 888 | 1000 | 34% | 2016-04-10 | Won | |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2016-04-01 | Lost | |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2016-01-23 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1431 | 8% | 2015-10-24 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1431 | 8% | 2015-10-24 | Lost | |
| 881 | 926 | 44% | 2015-08-14 | Won | |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2015-08-04 | Won | |
| 926 | 881 | 56% | 2015-06-20 | Won | |
| 904 | 1000 | 37% | 2015-06-01 | Won | |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2015-03-11 | Lost | |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2015-03-11 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1139 | 31% | 2014-09-21 | Won | |
| 1000 | 926 | 60% | 2014-06-06 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 850 | 70% | 2014-06-02 | Won | |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2014-05-25 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2014-05-15 | Lost | |
| 992 | 1000 | 49% | 2014-05-02 | Won | |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2014-05-02 | Won | |
| 870 | 1000 | 32% | 2014-03-09 | Lost | |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2014-03-05 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1045 | 44% | 2014-02-28 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 986 | 52% | 2014-02-22 | Won | |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2014-01-16 | Won | |
| 926 | 1000 | 40% | 2013-12-10 | Lost | |
| 1044 | 1000 | 56% | 2013-05-04 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1431 | 8% | 2013-04-01 | Lost | |
| 1220 | 1000 | 78% | 2012-09-02 | Won | |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2012-07-24 | Lost | |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2011-09-07 | Won | |
| 1023 | 985 | 55% | 2011-08-13 | Lost | |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2010-04-21 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2010-04-20 | Lost | |
| 1098 | 954 | 70% | 2010-03-07 | Won | |
| 983 | 1029 | 43% | 2010-01-16 | Lost | |
| 936 | 1000 | 41% | 2009-12-05 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2009-09-29 | Lost | |
| 1152 | 953 | 76% | 2009-08-15 | Won | |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2009-05-11 | Lost | |
| 997 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-04-30 | Lost | |
| 1215 | 1000 | 78% | 2009-03-12 | Lost | |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2008-05-14 | Won | |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2008-05-08 | Lost | |
| 946 | 1019 | 40% | 2008-03-06 | Lost | |
| 1087 | 1152 | 41% | 2008-02-11 | Won | |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2008-01-15 | Won | |
| 1013 | 1000 | 52% | 2007-05-01 | Lost | |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2007-02-24 | Won | |
| 1156 | 1047 | 65% | 2007-01-28 | Lost | |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2006-04-16 | Lost | |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2005-11-14 | Lost | |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2005-01-06 | Won | |
| 891 | 1000 | 35% | 2004-11-01 | Won |
Attacking (55 wins) average ELOs: 1018.5 vs 1026.3 has a 48.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).