Released from the East
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92
Attacker wins (Russian): 51
Defender wins (German (SS)): 38
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
With balance for both players:
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1018 | 1016 | 50% | 2025-06-01 | Won |
| 1116 | 1149 | 45% | 2024-11-27 | Lost |
| 1015 | 998 | 52% | 2024-11-16 | Lost |
| 996 | 996 | 50% | 2024-11-11 | Lost |
| 1005 | 993 | 52% | 2024-08-12 | Won |
| 1080 | 1080 | 50% | 2024-05-19 | Won |
| 1033 | 950 | 62% | 2024-03-04 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1036 | 46% | 2023-12-10 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1034 | 50% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 1218 | 1274 | 42% | 2023-05-15 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 878 | 861 | 52% | 2023-03-13 | Won |
| 1149 | 1005 | 70% | 2023-02-23 | Won |
| 1015 | 1218 | 24% | 2022-12-08 | Won |
| 1044 | 949 | 63% | 2022-09-23 | Won |
| 1056 | 1056 | 50% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 991 | 916 | 61% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
| 861 | 878 | 48% | 2022-06-13 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2022-04-25 | Won |
| 1189 | 1005 | 74% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
| 1018 | 1092 | 40% | 2022-01-18 | Lost |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2021-08-08 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-07-08 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-07-08 | Won |
| 1092 | 1014 | 61% | 2021-06-26 | Won |
| 1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2021-06-08 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-05-27 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1100 | 57% | 2021-02-16 | Won |
| 1030 | 1027 | 50% | 2021-02-14 | Won |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-02-07 | Won |
| 1129 | 1004 | 67% | 2021-01-03 | Won |
| 1036 | 1085 | 43% | 2020-12-30 | Won |
| 1431 | 1314 | 66% | 2020-11-28 | Won |
| 945 | 964 | 47% | 2020-11-24 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1078 | 45% | 2020-11-04 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
| 903 | 939 | 45% | 2020-08-18 | Won |
| 933 | 1018 | 38% | 2020-07-04 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1257 | 20% | 2020-06-19 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2020-03-31 | Won |
| 1005 | 1085 | 39% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 940 | 991 | 43% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 934 | 864 | 60% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1116 | 35% | 2019-09-05 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1175 | 50% | 2019-09-01 | Won |
| 1157 | 944 | 77% | 2019-06-18 | Won |
| 906 | 926 | 47% | 2019-02-22 | Won |
| 1152 | 1082 | 60% | 2018-09-16 | Lost |
| 887 | 869 | 53% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
| 908 | 1046 | 31% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 1113 | 1005 | 65% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2017-05-14 | Won |
| 1101 | 1142 | 44% | 2017-05-13 | Won |
| 1236 | 1017 | 78% | 2017-04-08 | Lost |
| 1219 | 893 | 87% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
| 1005 | 877 | 68% | 2016-07-26 | Tied |
| 867 | 877 | 49% | 2016-06-05 | Lost |
| 960 | 903 | 58% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
| 899 | 877 | 53% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 892 | 926 | 45% | 2015-12-18 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1163 | 82% | 2015-11-01 | Won |
| 1248 | 1147 | 64% | 2014-09-22 | Won |
| 1170 | 1216 | 43% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1005 | 50% | 2014-01-28 | Won |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-01-24 | Won |
| 1137 | 1125 | 52% | 2012-12-09 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1137 | 48% | 2012-12-09 | Won |
| 1209 | 1209 | 50% | 2012-11-24 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1005 | 55% | 2012-07-25 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2012-05-04 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2012-01-28 | Lost |
| 1022 | 992 | 54% | 2011-12-13 | Won |
| 951 | 970 | 47% | 2011-09-10 | Won |
| 1006 | 986 | 53% | 2011-07-12 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1023 | 52% | 2010-09-17 | Won |
| 1216 | 1039 | 73% | 2010-07-05 | Won |
| 984 | 1044 | 41% | 2010-04-28 | Won |
| 1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2009-10-12 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2009-09-06 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1094 | 37% | 2009-08-09 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1062 | 46% | 2008-03-31 | Lost |
| 946 | 1019 | 40% | 2008-03-13 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1149 | 31% | 2008-02-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 1149 | 41% | 2008-01-31 | Won |
| 1009 | 1005 | 51% | 2008-01-18 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-02-19 | Won |
| 1094 | 984 | 65% | 2006-06-17 | Won |
| 1086 | 1111 | 46% | 2006-05-15 | Won |
| 1037 | 1082 | 44% | 2005-01-20 | Lost |
Attacking (53 wins) average ELOs: 1053.5 vs 1038.1 has a 52.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).