Released from the East
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (104 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 63
Defender wins (German (SS)): 45
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
With balance for both players:
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 954 | 1047 | 37% | 2026-03-14 | Lost | |
| 1047 | 954 | 63% | 2026-02-25 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1028 | 46% | 2026-01-29 | Won | |
| 1090 | 1000 | 63% | 2025-10-12 | Won | |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2025-10-03 | Won | |
| 1090 | 1000 | 63% | 2025-09-13 | Won | |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2025-06-01 | A | Won |
| 1000 | 1144 | 30% | 2024-11-27 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1028 | 46% | 2024-11-16 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2024-11-11 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 986 | 52% | 2024-08-12 | Won | |
| 1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2024-05-19 | A+D | Won |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2024-03-04 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2023-12-10 | Lost | |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2023-09-10 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1288 | 16% | 2023-05-15 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2023-04-21 | Lost | |
| 878 | 1000 | 33% | 2023-03-13 | Won | |
| 1144 | 1000 | 70% | 2023-02-23 | Won | |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2022-12-08 | Won | |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2022-09-23 | Won | |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2022-08-04 | Won | |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2022-06-15 | Won | |
| 1000 | 878 | 67% | 2022-06-13 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2022-04-25 | Won | |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2022-04-10 | Won | |
| 996 | 1187 | 25% | 2022-01-18 | Lost | |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2021-08-08 | Lost | |
| 1024 | 1000 | 53% | 2021-07-23 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2021-07-08 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2021-07-08 | Lost | |
| 1187 | 1013 | 73% | 2021-06-26 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2021-06-08 | Lost | |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2021-05-27 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2021-02-16 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2021-02-14 | Won | |
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-02-07 | Won | |
| 1092 | 1004 | 62% | 2021-01-03 | Won | |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2020-12-30 | Won | |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2020-11-28 | Won | |
| 945 | 964 | 47% | 2020-11-24 | Lost | |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2020-11-04 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2020-10-17 | Lost | |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-08-18 | Won | |
| 918 | 996 | 39% | 2020-07-04 | Lost | |
| 996 | 1217 | 22% | 2020-06-19 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1172 | 27% | 2020-03-31 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1016 | 48% | 2020-03-08 | Lost | |
| 992 | 977 | 52% | 2020-03-01 | Won | |
| 992 | 977 | 52% | 2020-03-01 | Won | |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2020-01-26 | Won | |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2019-12-16 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2019-09-05 | Lost | |
| 1172 | 1000 | 73% | 2019-09-01 | Won | |
| 1123 | 945 | 74% | 2019-06-18 | Won | |
| 1000 | 926 | 60% | 2019-02-22 | Won | |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2018-09-16 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2017-12-19 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2017-11-18 | Won | |
| 1174 | 1000 | 73% | 2017-06-24 | Won | |
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2017-05-14 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1142 | 31% | 2017-05-13 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2017-04-08 | Lost | |
| 1075 | 894 | 74% | 2016-12-27 | Won | |
| 1000 | 892 | 65% | 2016-07-26 | Tied | |
| 1000 | 892 | 65% | 2016-06-05 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2016-05-21 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 892 | 65% | 2016-04-17 | Won | |
| 881 | 926 | 44% | 2015-12-18 | Lost | |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2015-11-01 | Won | |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2014-09-22 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1215 | 22% | 2014-06-21 | Lost | |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2014-01-28 | Won | |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2014-01-24 | Won | |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2012-12-09 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2012-12-09 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1220 | 22% | 2012-11-24 | Lost | |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2012-07-25 | Lost | |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2012-05-04 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2012-01-28 | Lost | |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2011-12-13 | Won | |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2011-09-10 | Won | |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2011-07-12 | Lost | |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2010-09-17 | Won | |
| 1215 | 1039 | 73% | 2010-07-05 | Won | |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2010-04-28 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2009-11-20 | Lost | |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 2009-10-12 | Won | |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2009-09-11 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1016 | 48% | 2009-09-06 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2009-08-09 | Lost | |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2009-07-31 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2008-03-31 | Lost | |
| 946 | 1019 | 40% | 2008-03-13 | Lost | |
| 1013 | 1152 | 31% | 2008-02-02 | Won | |
| 1087 | 1152 | 41% | 2008-01-31 | Won | |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2008-01-18 | Lost | |
| 959 | 1000 | 44% | 2007-12-01 | Won | |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-02-19 | Won | |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2006-06-17 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2006-05-15 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2005-11-28 | Won | |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2005-07-18 | Lost | |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2005-01-20 | Lost |
Attacking (59 wins) average ELOs: 1032.9 vs 1025.9 has a 51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).