Released from the East
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100
Attacker wins (Russian): 55
Defender wins (German (SS)): 42
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
With balance for both players:
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2025-10-12 | Won |
| 974 | 1004 | 46% | 2025-10-03 | Won |
| 1090 | 1082 | 51% | 2025-09-13 | Won |
| 1018 | 1009 | 51% | 2025-06-01 | Won |
| 1013 | 1148 | 31% | 2024-11-27 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2024-11-16 | Lost |
| 996 | 996 | 50% | 2024-11-11 | Lost |
| 1016 | 989 | 54% | 2024-08-12 | Won |
| 1080 | 1080 | 50% | 2024-05-19 | Won |
| 1033 | 950 | 62% | 2024-03-04 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1036 | 46% | 2023-12-10 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1034 | 50% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 979 | 1280 | 15% | 2023-05-15 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 878 | 861 | 52% | 2023-03-13 | Won |
| 1148 | 1016 | 68% | 2023-02-23 | Won |
| 1015 | 979 | 55% | 2022-12-08 | Won |
| 1036 | 947 | 63% | 2022-09-23 | Won |
| 1056 | 1056 | 50% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 989 | 916 | 60% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
| 861 | 878 | 48% | 2022-06-13 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1130 | 50% | 2022-04-25 | Won |
| 1141 | 1016 | 67% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
| 1041 | 1096 | 42% | 2022-01-18 | Lost |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2021-08-08 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-07-08 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-07-08 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1014 | 62% | 2021-06-26 | Won |
| 1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2021-06-08 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-05-27 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1099 | 57% | 2021-02-16 | Won |
| 1030 | 1027 | 50% | 2021-02-14 | Won |
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-02-07 | Won |
| 1142 | 1004 | 69% | 2021-01-03 | Won |
| 1028 | 1083 | 42% | 2020-12-30 | Won |
| 1431 | 1314 | 66% | 2020-11-28 | Won |
| 945 | 964 | 47% | 2020-11-24 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1078 | 41% | 2020-11-04 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
| 951 | 939 | 52% | 2020-08-18 | Won |
| 917 | 1041 | 33% | 2020-07-04 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1257 | 22% | 2020-06-19 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2020-03-31 | Won |
| 1016 | 1086 | 40% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 941 | 989 | 43% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 942 | 864 | 61% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1135 | 32% | 2019-09-05 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1175 | 50% | 2019-09-01 | Won |
| 1133 | 945 | 75% | 2019-06-18 | Won |
| 906 | 926 | 47% | 2019-02-22 | Won |
| 1130 | 1082 | 57% | 2018-09-16 | Lost |
| 886 | 893 | 49% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
| 908 | 1029 | 33% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 1114 | 1016 | 64% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2017-05-14 | Won |
| 1101 | 1142 | 44% | 2017-05-13 | Won |
| 950 | 1017 | 40% | 2017-04-08 | Lost |
| 1198 | 893 | 85% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
| 1016 | 879 | 69% | 2016-07-26 | Tied |
| 871 | 879 | 49% | 2016-06-05 | Lost |
| 960 | 951 | 51% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
| 902 | 879 | 53% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 892 | 926 | 45% | 2015-12-18 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1163 | 82% | 2015-11-01 | Won |
| 1193 | 1158 | 55% | 2014-09-22 | Won |
| 1170 | 1216 | 43% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1016 | 48% | 2014-01-28 | Won |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-01-24 | Won |
| 1125 | 1137 | 48% | 2012-12-09 | Won |
| 1137 | 1125 | 52% | 2012-12-09 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1220 | 49% | 2012-11-24 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2012-07-25 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1017 | 53% | 2012-05-04 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2012-01-28 | Lost |
| 1022 | 992 | 54% | 2011-12-13 | Won |
| 951 | 970 | 47% | 2011-09-10 | Won |
| 1006 | 986 | 53% | 2011-07-12 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1022 | 52% | 2010-09-17 | Won |
| 1216 | 1039 | 73% | 2010-07-05 | Won |
| 985 | 1036 | 43% | 2010-04-28 | Won |
| 1049 | 1063 | 48% | 2009-11-20 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2009-10-12 | Won |
| 1063 | 1049 | 52% | 2009-09-11 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2009-09-06 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1096 | 37% | 2009-08-09 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1049 | 52% | 2009-07-31 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1062 | 46% | 2008-03-31 | Lost |
| 946 | 1019 | 40% | 2008-03-13 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1151 | 31% | 2008-02-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 1151 | 41% | 2008-01-31 | Won |
| 997 | 1016 | 47% | 2008-01-18 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-02-19 | Won |
| 1096 | 984 | 66% | 2006-06-17 | Won |
| 1085 | 1117 | 45% | 2006-05-15 | Won |
| 1070 | 1063 | 51% | 2005-11-28 | Won |
| 1063 | 1070 | 49% | 2005-07-18 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1082 | 44% | 2005-01-20 | Lost |
Attacking (57 wins) average ELOs: 1046.1 vs 1039.4 has a 50.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).