Released from the East
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100
Attacker wins (Russian): 55
Defender wins (German (SS)): 42
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
With balance for both players:
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2025-10-12 | Won |
| 1023 | 1003 | 53% | 2025-10-03 | Won |
| 1090 | 1082 | 51% | 2025-09-13 | Won |
| 1018 | 984 | 55% | 2025-06-01 | Won |
| 1171 | 1171 | 50% | 2024-11-27 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1030 | 48% | 2024-11-16 | Lost |
| 996 | 996 | 50% | 2024-11-11 | Lost |
| 979 | 970 | 51% | 2024-08-12 | Won |
| 1080 | 1080 | 50% | 2024-05-19 | Won |
| 1033 | 950 | 62% | 2024-03-04 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1036 | 46% | 2023-12-10 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1033 | 50% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 979 | 1285 | 15% | 2023-05-15 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 878 | 861 | 52% | 2023-03-13 | Won |
| 1171 | 979 | 75% | 2023-02-23 | Won |
| 1015 | 979 | 55% | 2022-12-08 | Won |
| 1038 | 965 | 60% | 2022-09-23 | Won |
| 1056 | 1056 | 50% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 989 | 916 | 60% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
| 861 | 878 | 48% | 2022-06-13 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1130 | 50% | 2022-04-25 | Won |
| 1206 | 979 | 79% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
| 1017 | 1096 | 39% | 2022-01-18 | Lost |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2021-08-08 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-07-08 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-07-08 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1014 | 62% | 2021-06-26 | Won |
| 1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2021-06-08 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-05-27 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1098 | 57% | 2021-02-16 | Won |
| 1030 | 1027 | 50% | 2021-02-14 | Won |
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-02-07 | Won |
| 1142 | 1004 | 69% | 2021-01-03 | Won |
| 1010 | 1084 | 40% | 2020-12-30 | Won |
| 1431 | 1314 | 66% | 2020-11-28 | Won |
| 945 | 964 | 47% | 2020-11-24 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1078 | 43% | 2020-11-04 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
| 944 | 936 | 51% | 2020-08-18 | Won |
| 916 | 1017 | 36% | 2020-07-04 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1242 | 21% | 2020-06-19 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2020-03-31 | Won |
| 979 | 1086 | 35% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 1040 | 941 | 64% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 1040 | 941 | 64% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 941 | 989 | 43% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 965 | 843 | 67% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1135 | 32% | 2019-09-05 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1175 | 50% | 2019-09-01 | Won |
| 1154 | 945 | 77% | 2019-06-18 | Won |
| 906 | 926 | 47% | 2019-02-22 | Won |
| 1130 | 1082 | 57% | 2018-09-16 | Lost |
| 886 | 940 | 42% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
| 908 | 1040 | 32% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 1172 | 979 | 75% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2017-05-14 | Won |
| 1101 | 1142 | 44% | 2017-05-13 | Won |
| 950 | 1017 | 40% | 2017-04-08 | Lost |
| 1123 | 893 | 79% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
| 979 | 879 | 64% | 2016-07-26 | Tied |
| 870 | 879 | 49% | 2016-06-05 | Lost |
| 959 | 944 | 52% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
| 901 | 879 | 53% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 892 | 926 | 45% | 2015-12-18 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1163 | 82% | 2015-11-01 | Won |
| 1196 | 1165 | 54% | 2014-09-22 | Won |
| 1170 | 1216 | 43% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 1002 | 979 | 53% | 2014-01-28 | Won |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-01-24 | Won |
| 1125 | 1137 | 48% | 2012-12-09 | Won |
| 1137 | 1125 | 52% | 2012-12-09 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1220 | 49% | 2012-11-24 | Lost |
| 1028 | 979 | 57% | 2012-07-25 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1017 | 53% | 2012-05-04 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2012-01-28 | Lost |
| 1022 | 992 | 54% | 2011-12-13 | Won |
| 951 | 970 | 47% | 2011-09-10 | Won |
| 1006 | 986 | 53% | 2011-07-12 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1022 | 52% | 2010-09-17 | Won |
| 1216 | 1039 | 73% | 2010-07-05 | Won |
| 984 | 1038 | 42% | 2010-04-28 | Won |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2009-11-20 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2009-10-12 | Won |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2009-09-11 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2009-09-06 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1109 | 35% | 2009-08-09 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2009-07-31 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1062 | 46% | 2008-03-31 | Lost |
| 946 | 1019 | 40% | 2008-03-13 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1151 | 31% | 2008-02-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 1151 | 41% | 2008-01-31 | Won |
| 980 | 979 | 50% | 2008-01-18 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-02-19 | Won |
| 1109 | 984 | 67% | 2006-06-17 | Won |
| 1085 | 1117 | 45% | 2006-05-15 | Won |
| 1070 | 1068 | 50% | 2005-11-28 | Won |
| 1068 | 1070 | 50% | 2005-07-18 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1082 | 44% | 2005-01-20 | Lost |
Attacking (57 wins) average ELOs: 1048.3 vs 1038 has a 51.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).