A Long Way To Go
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 132 (59 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 72
Defender wins (American): 57
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
970 | 970 | 50% | 2024-04-04 | Won |
993 | 921 | 60% | 2024-03-07 | Won |
1045 | 1036 | 51% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
993 | 1213 | 22% | 2023-08-05 | Lost |
1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2023-04-26 | Lost |
1056 | 1056 | 50% | 2023-04-17 | Lost |
1067 | 993 | 60% | 2023-02-20 | Won |
1030 | 1063 | 45% | 2022-09-29 | Lost |
865 | 916 | 43% | 2022-08-08 | Tied |
865 | 993 | 32% | 2022-08-08 | Tied |
1043 | 1030 | 52% | 2022-07-12 | Lost |
924 | 993 | 40% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
916 | 865 | 57% | 2022-04-25 | Lost |
904 | 993 | 37% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
1002 | 933 | 60% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
937 | 983 | 43% | 2021-07-07 | Won |
1002 | 1030 | 46% | 2021-05-13 | Lost |
1002 | 933 | 60% | 2021-05-05 | Lost |
1083 | 1085 | 50% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
980 | 1038 | 42% | 2020-10-13 | Won |
1013 | 1040 | 46% | 2020-08-27 | Lost |
937 | 1175 | 20% | 2020-07-10 | Won |
892 | 920 | 46% | 2019-12-22 | Won |
1190 | 1429 | 20% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
1429 | 1190 | 80% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
984 | 1159 | 27% | 2019-07-06 | Won |
881 | 993 | 34% | 2019-01-17 | Lost |
1082 | 1131 | 43% | 2018-10-14 | Lost |
1131 | 1036 | 63% | 2018-03-09 | Won |
881 | 993 | 34% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
998 | 911 | 62% | 2017-10-11 | Won |
998 | 911 | 62% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
1101 | 1086 | 52% | 2017-06-25 | Won |
1128 | 1183 | 42% | 2017-05-21 | Lost |
960 | 1013 | 42% | 2016-09-10 | Won |
881 | 993 | 34% | 2016-07-29 | Tied |
895 | 1013 | 34% | 2016-05-01 | Lost |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2015-08-10 | Won |
1163 | 1227 | 41% | 2014-10-17 | Lost |
1227 | 1163 | 59% | 2014-10-17 | Won |
981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2013-03-01 | Lost |
1026 | 933 | 63% | 2012-10-21 | Lost |
1012 | 1026 | 48% | 2012-10-21 | Lost |
1027 | 990 | 55% | 2010-07-14 | Lost |
1003 | 1012 | 49% | 2009-12-14 | Lost |
1135 | 1227 | 37% | 2009-10-22 | Won |
1026 | 1090 | 41% | 2009-02-12 | Lost |
1216 | 1025 | 75% | 2009-01-18 | Won |
976 | 987 | 48% | 2008-08-13 | Lost |
1019 | 1032 | 48% | 2008-06-11 | Won |
1157 | 964 | 75% | 2008-02-22 | Won |
1157 | 964 | 75% | 2008-02-22 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-04 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-04 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-04 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-04 | Won |
1038 | 1115 | 39% | 2007-02-10 | Won |
943 | 832 | 65% | 2006-02-23 | Won |
Attacking (29 wins) average ELOs: 1027.5 vs 1037.9 has a 48.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).