A Long Way To Go
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 144 (70 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 81
Defender wins (American): 60
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1000 | 1049 | 43% | 2026-04-30 | Lost | |
| 945 | 1000 | 42% | 2026-04-29 | Won | |
| 1049 | 1000 | 57% | 2026-04-23 | Won | |
| 1069 | 932 | 69% | 2026-04-22 | D | Won |
| 932 | 1069 | 31% | 2026-03-25 | Won | |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2025-06-01 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2025-05-10 | Won | |
| 992 | 1015 | 47% | 2024-11-05 | Won | |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2024-08-22 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 986 | 52% | 2024-04-04 | Won | |
| 1000 | 910 | 63% | 2024-03-07 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2023-11-04 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1291 | 16% | 2023-08-05 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2023-04-26 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2023-04-17 | Lost | |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2023-02-20 | Won | |
| 1000 | 970 | 54% | 2022-09-29 | Lost | |
| 878 | 1000 | 33% | 2022-08-08 | Tied | |
| 878 | 1000 | 33% | 2022-08-08 | Tied | |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2022-07-12 | Lost | |
| 947 | 1000 | 42% | 2022-06-15 | Won | |
| 1000 | 878 | 67% | 2022-04-25 | Lost | |
| 1205 | 1000 | 76% | 2022-04-10 | Won | |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-01-09 | Won | |
| 1004 | 1000 | 51% | 2021-07-07 | Won | |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-05-13 | Lost | |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-05-05 | Lost | |
| 1095 | 1000 | 63% | 2021-02-15 | Won | |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2020-10-13 | Won | |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-08-27 | Lost | |
| 1004 | 1203 | 24% | 2020-07-10 | Won | |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2019-12-22 | Won | |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2019-11-09 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1431 | 8% | 2019-11-09 | Lost | |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-08-23 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1172 | 27% | 2019-07-06 | Won | |
| 888 | 1000 | 34% | 2019-01-17 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2018-10-14 | Lost | |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2018-03-09 | Won | |
| 888 | 1000 | 34% | 2017-11-16 | Lost | |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-10-11 | Won | |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-10-07 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1142 | 31% | 2017-06-25 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2017-05-21 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2016-09-10 | Won | |
| 888 | 1000 | 34% | 2016-07-29 | Tied | |
| 885 | 951 | 41% | 2016-05-01 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2015-08-10 | Won | |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 2014-10-17 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2014-10-17 | Lost | |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2014-06-11 | Won | |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2014-02-20 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1220 | 22% | 2013-03-01 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1003 | 50% | 2012-10-21 | Lost | |
| 1003 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-10-21 | Lost | |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2010-07-14 | Lost | |
| 1020 | 1029 | 49% | 2009-12-14 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2009-10-22 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | 2009-02-12 | Lost | |
| 1215 | 1000 | 78% | 2009-01-18 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2008-08-13 | Lost | |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2008-06-11 | Won | |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2008-02-22 | Won | |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2008-02-22 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2007-03-04 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2007-03-04 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2007-03-04 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2007-03-04 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2007-02-10 | Won | |
| 1000 | 832 | 72% | 2006-02-23 | Won |
Attacking (37 wins) average ELOs: 1014.4 vs 1036.8 has a 46.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).