Priority Target
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 168 (77 on the archive and 93 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 84
Defender wins (Allied): 83
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Allied): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Allied): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 954 | 1047 | 37% | 2026-05-28 | A | Lost |
| 996 | 1090 | 37% | 2025-09-14 | Won | |
| 996 | 1012 | 48% | 2024-11-25 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2024-11-16 | Won | |
| 992 | 1015 | 47% | 2024-11-14 | Lost | |
| 1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2024-09-07 | D | Lost |
| 986 | 1000 | 48% | 2024-09-01 | Won | |
| 1211 | 1000 | 77% | 2023-10-21 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1288 | 16% | 2023-08-28 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2023-05-01 | Lost | |
| 1092 | 1000 | 63% | 2023-03-26 | Won | |
| 954 | 1431 | 6% | 2022-07-28 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 944 | 58% | 2022-06-14 | Lost | |
| 932 | 1000 | 40% | 2022-06-02 | Lost | |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2022-04-29 | Won | |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2022-02-06 | Won | |
| 1049 | 1431 | 10% | 2022-01-08 | Lost | |
| 1011 | 985 | 54% | 2022-01-01 | Won | |
| 1000 | 926 | 60% | 2021-11-03 | Won | |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2021-08-31 | Lost | |
| 890 | 1143 | 19% | 2021-08-16 | Lost | |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2021-08-07 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2021-06-20 | Won | |
| 1431 | 1018 | 92% | 2021-04-24 | Won | |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2021-04-15 | Lost | |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2020-11-10 | Won | |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2020-09-04 | Lost | |
| 1164 | 996 | 72% | 2020-07-29 | Won | |
| 1216 | 1000 | 78% | 2020-06-05 | Won | |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2020-03-31 | Lost | |
| 1028 | 1016 | 52% | 2020-03-25 | Lost | |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2020-01-15 | Won | |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2019-12-18 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1172 | 27% | 2019-10-18 | Won | |
| 1172 | 954 | 78% | 2019-07-22 | Lost | |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2019-03-03 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2019-01-25 | Lost | |
| 1009 | 1138 | 32% | 2019-01-25 | Lost | |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2019-01-25 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2018-11-11 | Won | |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-11-07 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2017-06-26 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2017-02-05 | Won | |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2016-12-22 | Won | |
| 888 | 1000 | 34% | 2016-08-06 | Tied | |
| 1063 | 926 | 69% | 2016-08-01 | Won | |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2016-01-06 | Won | |
| 1139 | 1000 | 69% | 2015-12-26 | Won | |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2015-08-11 | Won | |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2014-10-15 | Lost | |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2014-06-12 | Won | |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2014-02-05 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1220 | 22% | 2014-01-04 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1016 | 48% | 2012-10-24 | Lost | |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2012-10-23 | Won | |
| 891 | 1000 | 35% | 2012-06-01 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2011-12-18 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2011-02-27 | Won | |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2010-11-12 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2010-09-18 | Lost | |
| 1033 | 1108 | 39% | 2010-08-07 | Lost | |
| 1029 | 1020 | 51% | 2010-03-08 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2009-11-25 | Won | |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 2009-08-12 | Won | |
| 906 | 1000 | 37% | 2009-06-17 | Won | |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2008-03-02 | Won | |
| 913 | 1000 | 38% | 2008-01-19 | Won | |
| 1000 | 913 | 62% | 2007-12-15 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2007-04-14 | Lost | |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-03-03 | Lost | |
| 1009 | 992 | 52% | 2007-02-17 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2006-10-25 | Lost | |
| 943 | 1167 | 22% | 2006-08-04 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2006-06-10 | Lost | |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2006-04-11 | Won | |
| 832 | 1000 | 28% | 2006-03-30 | Won | |
| 1000 | 832 | 72% | 2006-03-02 | Lost |
Attacking (40 wins) average ELOs: 1019.2 vs 1039.7 has a 47.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).