88s at Zon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 243 (121 on the archive and 123 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 117
Defender wins (German): 126
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 945 | 1000 | 42% | 2026-08-05 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1049 | 43% | 2026-07-16 | Lost | |
| 1049 | 1000 | 57% | 2026-06-11 | Won | |
| 1047 | 954 | 63% | 2026-06-02 | D | Won |
| 1000 | 976 | 53% | 2025-07-13 | Won | |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2025-06-19 | Lost | |
| 976 | 1000 | 47% | 2025-06-15 | Won | |
| 1038 | 1015 | 53% | 2024-12-27 | Won | |
| 1015 | 992 | 53% | 2024-11-15 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 986 | 52% | 2024-09-09 | Lost | |
| 1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2024-08-17 | Won | |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2024-07-19 | Won | |
| 986 | 1000 | 48% | 2024-03-07 | Lost | |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2024-02-22 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2024-02-05 | Lost | |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2023-10-26 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1288 | 16% | 2023-09-04 | Lost | |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2023-05-02 | Won | |
| 996 | 962 | 55% | 2022-11-10 | Won | |
| 1000 | 878 | 67% | 2022-10-02 | Won | |
| 970 | 1000 | 46% | 2022-09-21 | Won | |
| 1431 | 954 | 94% | 2022-08-13 | Won | |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2022-07-27 | Won | |
| 1000 | 916 | 62% | 2022-06-29 | Lost | |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2022-06-28 | Won | |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2022-04-19 | Lost | |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2022-04-10 | Won | |
| 940 | 1049 | 35% | 2022-02-03 | Lost | |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-12-21 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1143 | 31% | 2021-10-28 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1142 | 31% | 2021-10-23 | Lost | |
| 1017 | 1187 | 27% | 2021-07-11 | Lost | |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2021-07-10 | Lost | |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-07-02 | Won | |
| 1018 | 982 | 55% | 2021-04-17 | Lost | |
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-01-25 | Lost | |
| 1140 | 964 | 73% | 2021-01-20 | Won | |
| 1000 | 964 | 55% | 2021-01-20 | Won | |
| 996 | 1152 | 29% | 2020-09-24 | Lost | |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-09-20 | Won | |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2020-09-13 | Lost | |
| 890 | 996 | 35% | 2020-09-10 | Lost | |
| 996 | 1211 | 22% | 2020-09-01 | Lost | |
| 1211 | 996 | 78% | 2020-08-21 | Won | |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-08-16 | Won | |
| 890 | 1164 | 17% | 2020-06-21 | Lost | |
| 890 | 1164 | 17% | 2020-06-20 | Lost | |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2020-06-11 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1028 | 46% | 2020-06-01 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2020-05-29 | Lost | |
| 1164 | 992 | 73% | 2020-04-12 | Won | |
| 1016 | 1028 | 48% | 2020-03-18 | Lost | |
| 890 | 1014 | 33% | 2020-02-12 | Lost | |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2019-12-21 | Lost | |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2019-12-11 | Lost | |
| 989 | 1348 | 11% | 2019-10-20 | Lost | |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-10-12 | Won | |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2019-10-12 | Won | |
| 1172 | 1000 | 73% | 2019-10-12 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1174 | 27% | 2019-07-13 | Lost | |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2019-05-11 | Won | |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-01-01 | Won | |
| 962 | 889 | 60% | 2018-11-05 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2018-05-29 | Lost | |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2018-02-24 | Won | |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2017-12-01 | Won | |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2017-09-24 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1142 | 31% | 2017-07-25 | Lost | |
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2017-07-09 | Won | |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2017-06-15 | Lost | |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2017-06-06 | Lost | |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2017-01-04 | Won | |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2016-11-19 | Lost | |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2016-11-19 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 889 | 65% | 2016-09-17 | Won | |
| 1000 | 889 | 65% | 2016-07-01 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2016-04-23 | Lost | |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 2015-12-27 | Won | |
| 1000 | 926 | 60% | 2015-10-04 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1174 | 27% | 2015-08-27 | Lost | |
| 926 | 1063 | 31% | 2015-08-17 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1174 | 27% | 2015-08-13 | Lost | |
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2015-07-19 | Lost | |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2015-03-21 | Won | |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2015-03-16 | Won | |
| 983 | 902 | 61% | 2015-03-16 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2015-01-11 | Lost | |
| 1220 | 1000 | 78% | 2014-08-30 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2014-06-29 | Lost | |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2014-03-13 | Lost | |
| 1220 | 1000 | 78% | 2014-02-13 | Lost | |
| 991 | 1220 | 21% | 2014-01-17 | Lost | |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2012-10-27 | Lost | |
| 1167 | 983 | 74% | 2012-08-26 | Won | |
| 870 | 1000 | 32% | 2012-08-24 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2011-09-13 | Lost | |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2011-02-23 | Won | |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2010-09-22 | Lost | |
| 1029 | 1020 | 51% | 2009-12-07 | Lost | |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 2009-12-01 | Won | |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2009-08-10 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1045 | 44% | 2009-08-01 | Won | |
| 1013 | 1000 | 52% | 2009-05-27 | Lost | |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2009-05-23 | Lost | |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 2009-03-21 | Won | |
| 906 | 1000 | 37% | 2009-03-03 | Won | |
| 1215 | 913 | 85% | 2009-01-18 | Lost | |
| 906 | 1017 | 35% | 2008-12-12 | Lost | |
| 906 | 1000 | 37% | 2008-10-23 | Lost | |
| 906 | 1000 | 37% | 2008-08-20 | Lost | |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2008-02-09 | Won | |
| 1059 | 1215 | 29% | 2007-11-17 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2007-06-05 | Lost | |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-02-18 | Won | |
| 992 | 1156 | 28% | 2006-11-20 | Won | |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2006-06-24 | Won | |
| 1000 | 832 | 72% | 2006-05-06 | Won | |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2006-04-18 | Won | |
| 832 | 1000 | 28% | 2006-02-23 | Lost | |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2006-01-22 | Won |
Attacking (55 wins) average ELOs: 1021.2 vs 1023.1 has a 49.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).