Under Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (6 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Polish): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2026-02-23 | | Lost |
| 1027 | 1000 | 54% | 2024-06-15 | | Won |
| 1127 | 916 | 77% | 2022-10-04 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1127 | 63% | 2019-10-02 | | Won |
| 1097 | 1242 | 30% | 2018-11-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2003-03-28 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1099.3 vs 1059.8 has a 55.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).