A Tough Nut to Crack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (3 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 14
Defender wins (Japanese): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Lost |
| 1117 | 1029 | 62% | | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1119.7 vs 1087.7 has a 54.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).