Hana-Saku
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (12 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 33
Defender wins (Canadian): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 966 | 56% | 2019-09-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2018-09-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2017-03-11 | | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2017-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1075 | 964 | 65% | 2015-10-06 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1004 | 65% | 2011-11-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 922 | 61% | 2006-08-10 | | Lost |
| 922 | 1000 | 39% | 2006-07-03 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1269 | 21% | 2006-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 907 | 64% | 2004-01-27 | | Lost |
| 900 | 1056 | 29% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1021 vs 1039.5 has a 47.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).