The Milling Crowd
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (6 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1218 | 1127 | 63% | 2021-02-19 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1139 | 61% | 2021-02-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 862 | 69% | 2017-07-09 | | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2016-05-31 | | Tied |
| 1038 | 1051 | 48% | 2015-08-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1998-10-22 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1107.8 vs 1046.7 has a 58.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).