Historical Gavin Take
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 3 (1 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1241 | 1000 | 80% | 2025-09-17 | | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1241 vs 1000 has a 80.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).