Armored Probe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 106 (10 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 59
Defender wins (American): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1122 | 1170 | 43% | 2025-04-27 | Tied |
| 1090 | 980 | 65% | 2017-09-05 | Won |
| 1141 | 1012 | 68% | 2010-06-13 | Won |
| 980 | 1067 | 38% | 2010-06-13 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1003 | 55% | 2004-03-26 | Won |
| 1063 | 1215 | 29% | 2000-01-26 | Won |
| 1293 | 1174 | 66% | 1996-04-04 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1095 | 54% | | Lost |
| 1122 | 1095 | 54% | | Lost |
| 1122 | 1000 | 67% | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1109.2 vs 1081.1 has a 54.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).