Armored Probe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 107 (11 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 60
Defender wins (American): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1123 | 1134 | 48% | 2025-04-27 | Tied |
| 1096 | 952 | 70% | 2017-09-05 | Won |
| 1151 | 1012 | 69% | 2010-06-13 | Won |
| 979 | 1081 | 36% | 2010-06-13 | Lost |
| 1038 | 950 | 62% | 2004-03-26 | Won |
| 1064 | 1215 | 30% | 2000-01-26 | Won |
| 1283 | 1290 | 49% | 1999-04-26 | Won |
| 1269 | 1173 | 63% | 1996-04-04 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1099.9 vs 1079.2 has a 52.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).