First and Goal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (5 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 22
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 1082 | 40% | 2005-11-13 | Won |
| 1141 | 1190 | 43% | 1999-10-30 | Lost |
| 1290 | 1263 | 54% | 1998-05-14 | Lost |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 1997-01-21 | Won |
| 943 | 1233 | 16% | 1996-11-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1028.2 vs 1181.8 has a 29.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).