First and Goal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (4 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1082 | 47% | 2005-11-13 | Won |
| 1152 | 1187 | 45% | 1999-10-30 | Lost |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 1997-01-21 | Won |
| 1066 | 1228 | 28% | 1996-11-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 998.5 vs 1162.3 has a 28.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).