The Lighthouse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (5 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 39
Defender wins (Japanese): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1248 | 999 | 81% | 2005-04-23 | Won |
| 1204 | 847 | 89% | 2002-12-21 | Won |
| 1065 | 1060 | 51% | 2000-10-28 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1106 | 44% | 1996-01-10 | Won |
| 1138 | 1029 | 65% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1143.2 vs 1008.2 has a 68.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).