The Lighthouse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (6 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 39
Defender wins (Japanese): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1251 | 943 | 85% | 2005-04-23 | Won |
| 1178 | 834 | 88% | 2002-12-21 | Won |
| 1065 | 1005 | 59% | 2000-10-28 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1026 | 52% | 1998-12-29 | Lost |
| 985 | 1024 | 44% | 1996-01-10 | Won |
| 1153 | 1018 | 69% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1111.5 vs 975 has a 68.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).