At the Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (8 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (Polish): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 920 | 67% | 2025-08-11 | Lost |
| 957 | 851 | 65% | 2024-12-11 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-06-25 | Won |
| 1021 | 1045 | 47% | 2013-07-24 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1021 | 53% | 2013-07-23 | Lost |
| 1092 | 867 | 79% | 1999-05-05 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1089 | 42% | 1999-04-16 | Won |
| 1092 | 972 | 67% | 1988-01-19 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1035.6 vs 970.6 has a 59.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).