At the Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (8 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (Polish): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2025-08-11 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1137 | 31% | 2024-12-11 | | Lost |
| 1027 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-06-25 | | Won |
| 1021 | 1000 | 53% | 2013-07-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1021 | 47% | 2013-07-23 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 1999-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 1999-04-16 | | Won |
| 1056 | 972 | 62% | 1988-01-19 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1039.1 vs 1016.3 has a 53.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).