The Warlord's Estate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (8 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 19
Defender wins (Chinese): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 992 | 983 | 51% | 2024-06-17 | Lost |
| 1052 | 955 | 64% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1140 | 1169 | 46% | 2019-11-07 | Lost |
| 1220 | 903 | 86% | 2012-07-29 | Won |
| 1140 | 1065 | 61% | 2009-09-24 | Lost |
| 1140 | 727 | 92% | 2009-07-02 | Won |
| 1167 | 1061 | 65% | 2009-05-19 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1159 | 53% | 2007-08-30 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1128.9 vs 1002.8 has a 67.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).