Recapturing Ernage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (5 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 12
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1234 | 1174 | 59% | 2025-12-10 | Won |
| 913 | 1015 | 36% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2019-05-28 | Won |
| 1102 | 1112 | 49% | 2012-08-09 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1068.8 vs 1060.2 has a 51.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).