Recapturing Ernage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (5 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 12
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2025-12-10 | | Won |
| 943 | 1015 | 40% | 2022-07-17 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2019-05-28 | | Won |
| 1103 | 1000 | 64% | 2012-08-09 | | Lost |
| 1070 | 1000 | 60% | | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1079 vs 1033.8 has a 56.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).