Recapturing Ernage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (5 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 12
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1274 | 1135 | 69% | 2025-12-10 | Won |
| 904 | 1015 | 35% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2019-05-28 | Won |
| 1103 | 1114 | 48% | 2012-08-09 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1096 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1084.8 vs 1068.4 has a 52.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).