Lousy Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (15 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (American): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 954 | 57% | 2025-08-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2023-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1208 | 1000 | 77% | 2023-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1208 | 1022 | 74% | 2023-10-16 | | Won |
| 947 | 1136 | 25% | 2020-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2020-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1015 | 76% | 2016-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1149 | 990 | 71% | 2011-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2010-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 967 | 61% | 2009-12-31 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2009-11-03 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1183 | 22% | 2008-03-09 | | Lost |
| 954 | 1000 | 43% | 2008-03-09 | | Won |
| 993 | 1435 | 7% | 2006-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 967 | 78% | 2006-09-21 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1070.5 vs 1041.6 has a 54.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).