Lousy Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (American): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 905 | 905 | 50% | 2025-08-01 | Won |
| 1106 | 998 | 65% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1157 | 844 | 86% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1157 | 994 | 72% | 2023-10-16 | Won |
| 953 | 1162 | 23% | 2020-05-21 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1127 | 48% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1008 | 69% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1015 | 62% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 866 | 1011 | 30% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
| 1044 | 899 | 70% | 2009-12-31 | Won |
| 1020 | 1064 | 44% | 2009-11-03 | Lost |
| 961 | 1072 | 35% | 2008-03-09 | Lost |
| 905 | 1023 | 34% | 2008-03-09 | Won |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2007-06-01 | Won |
| 992 | 1413 | 8% | 2006-11-07 | Lost |
| 1072 | 899 | 73% | 2006-09-21 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1040.9 vs 1027.8 has a 51.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).