Lousy Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (15 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (American): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2025-08-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2023-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2023-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1061 | 68% | 2023-10-16 | | Won |
| 947 | 1126 | 26% | 2020-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1174 | 1000 | 73% | 2020-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1196 | 1021 | 73% | 2016-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 990 | 72% | 2011-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2010-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 943 | 64% | 2009-12-31 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2009-11-03 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1167 | 23% | 2008-03-09 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2008-03-09 | | Won |
| 993 | 1435 | 7% | 2006-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 943 | 78% | 2006-09-21 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1071.1 vs 1046.4 has a 53.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).