Lousy Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (American): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1205 | 1020 | 74% | 2025-08-01 | Won |
| 918 | 898 | 53% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1206 | 825 | 90% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1037 | 73% | 2023-10-16 | Won |
| 953 | 1110 | 29% | 2020-05-21 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1027 | 66% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1015 | 62% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 866 | 1021 | 29% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
| 1044 | 927 | 66% | 2009-12-31 | Won |
| 1020 | 1123 | 36% | 2009-11-03 | Lost |
| 961 | 1083 | 33% | 2008-03-09 | Lost |
| 1020 | 983 | 55% | 2008-03-09 | Won |
| 992 | 1419 | 8% | 2006-11-07 | Lost |
| 1083 | 927 | 71% | 2006-09-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1059.3 vs 1039.2 has a 52.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).