Lousy Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (14 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (American): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
942 | 977 | 45% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
925 | 870 | 58% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2023-10-16 | Won |
953 | 1095 | 31% | 2020-05-21 | Lost |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
1176 | 1026 | 70% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
865 | 1093 | 21% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
1043 | 780 | 82% | 2009-12-31 | Won |
1019 | 1128 | 35% | 2009-11-03 | Lost |
961 | 1062 | 36% | 2008-03-09 | Lost |
994 | 1030 | 45% | 2008-03-09 | Won |
925 | 1095 | 27% | 2007-06-01 | Won |
1008 | 1360 | 12% | 2006-11-07 | Lost |
1062 | 780 | 84% | 2006-09-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 993.6 vs 1023.4 has a 45.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).