Lousy Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (American): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1223 | 999 | 78% | 2025-08-01 | Won |
| 919 | 956 | 45% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1174 | 828 | 88% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1060 | 66% | 2023-10-16 | Won |
| 947 | 1126 | 26% | 2020-05-21 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1030 | 77% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 1152 | 990 | 72% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 865 | 1015 | 30% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
| 1044 | 910 | 68% | 2009-12-31 | Won |
| 1019 | 1140 | 33% | 2009-11-03 | Lost |
| 962 | 1167 | 24% | 2008-03-09 | Lost |
| 999 | 1108 | 35% | 2008-03-09 | Won |
| 992 | 1434 | 7% | 2006-11-07 | Lost |
| 1167 | 910 | 81% | 2006-09-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1070.1 vs 1056.3 has a 51.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).