Moldavian Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (15 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Romanian): 35
Defender wins (Russian): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2023-11-22 | Lost |
| 1269 | 1184 | 62% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 896 | 1176 | 17% | 2016-11-07 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1062 | 48% | 2008-05-16 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1062 | 48% | 2008-05-16 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1062 | 48% | 2008-05-16 | Lost |
| 904 | 1014 | 35% | 2007-10-16 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2007-04-03 | Won |
| 1252 | 1145 | 65% | 2007-03-09 | Won |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2006-06-28 | Won |
| 1235 | 1185 | 57% | 2006-06-03 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1053 | 54% | 2006-03-20 | Lost |
| 984 | 1046 | 41% | 2005-10-13 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2005-04-12 | Won |
| 1334 | 1170 | 72% | 2004-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1071.6 vs 1102.7 has a 45.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).