Morire in Belleza
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 164 (38 on the archive and 126 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 79
Defender wins (Yugoslavian): 85
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 1063 | 39% | 2025-01-13 | | Lost |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2023-07-28 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1101 | 40% | 2023-06-24 | | Won |
| 780 | 975 | 25% | 2023-05-25 | | Lost |
| 965 | 1000 | 45% | 2022-11-06 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1219 | 25% | 2021-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1219 | 25% | 2021-02-19 | | Lost |
| 988 | 1000 | 48% | 2020-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2016-11-19 | | Won |
| 927 | 1000 | 40% | 2016-08-27 | | Won |
| 1078 | 927 | 70% | 2015-12-08 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1041 | 65% | 2015-11-18 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1120 | 64% | 2015-05-09 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2015-03-05 | | Won |
| 971 | 1063 | 37% | 2014-12-06 | | Lost |
| 1063 | 1000 | 59% | 2014-11-15 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2014-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2014-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2009-12-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2008-11-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2008-03-07 | | Won |
| 1156 | 959 | 76% | 2008-02-09 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2007-05-22 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1035 | 49% | 2006-11-07 | | Won |
| 1435 | 1064 | 89% | 2006-09-10 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 862 | 89% | 2006-09-10 | | Won |
| 1151 | 941 | 77% | 2006-09-10 | | Won |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2006-08-24 | | Won |
| 1435 | 1219 | 78% | 2006-04-01 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1435 | 22% | 2006-04-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2006-04-01 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2006-04-01 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 902 | 86% | 2006-02-07 | | Won |
| 907 | 1002 | 37% | 2005-09-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 862 | 69% | 2005-04-24 | | Won |
| 1010 | 1140 | 32% | 2003-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 1999-12-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1079.6 vs 1044.6 has a 55.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).