Morire in Belleza
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 164 (38 on the archive and 126 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 79
Defender wins (Yugoslavian): 85
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 969 | 54% | 2025-01-13 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1208 | 53% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1101 | 40% | 2023-06-24 | Won |
| 780 | 999 | 22% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
| 884 | 925 | 44% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1031 | 1223 | 25% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1223 | 25% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 979 | 955 | 53% | 2020-03-23 | Lost |
| 1074 | 826 | 81% | 2016-11-19 | Won |
| 929 | 1154 | 21% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
| 1061 | 929 | 68% | 2015-12-08 | Won |
| 1128 | 1040 | 62% | 2015-11-18 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1119 | 65% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
| 1131 | 906 | 79% | 2015-03-05 | Won |
| 971 | 969 | 50% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
| 969 | 1061 | 37% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
| 1121 | 1121 | 50% | 2014-04-10 | Lost |
| 983 | 982 | 50% | 2014-02-15 | Lost |
| 1085 | 987 | 64% | 2009-12-21 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1141 | 56% | 2008-11-08 | Won |
| 1082 | 1085 | 50% | 2008-03-07 | Won |
| 1002 | 969 | 55% | 2008-02-09 | Won |
| 1015 | 1048 | 45% | 2007-05-22 | Won |
| 1031 | 1035 | 49% | 2006-11-07 | Won |
| 1430 | 1064 | 89% | 2006-09-10 | Lost |
| 1223 | 862 | 89% | 2006-09-10 | Won |
| 1149 | 941 | 77% | 2006-09-10 | Won |
| 1149 | 1108 | 56% | 2006-08-24 | Won |
| 1430 | 1223 | 77% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1430 | 23% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1223 | 28% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1056 | 72% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1223 | 902 | 86% | 2006-02-07 | Won |
| 907 | 1002 | 37% | 2005-09-17 | Won |
| 935 | 862 | 60% | 2005-04-24 | Won |
| 1010 | 1159 | 30% | 2003-06-21 | Lost |
| 997 | 1065 | 40% | 1999-12-03 | Won |
| 1012 | 1029 | 48% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1076.7 vs 1050 has a 53.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).