Morire in Belleza
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 162 (36 on the archive and 126 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 77
Defender wins (Yugoslavian): 85
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 930 | 1029 | 36% | 2025-01-13 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1151 | 48% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1100 | 39% | 2023-06-24 | Won |
| 780 | 1013 | 21% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
| 953 | 926 | 54% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1015 | 1340 | 13% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1340 | 13% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 979 | 955 | 53% | 2020-03-23 | Lost |
| 1148 | 824 | 87% | 2016-11-19 | Won |
| 927 | 1074 | 30% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
| 1037 | 927 | 65% | 2015-12-08 | Won |
| 1078 | 1050 | 54% | 2015-11-18 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1074 | 82% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
| 1113 | 1009 | 65% | 2015-03-05 | Won |
| 971 | 1029 | 42% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1062 | 45% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 1123 | 48% | 2014-04-10 | Lost |
| 983 | 982 | 50% | 2014-02-15 | Lost |
| 1084 | 998 | 62% | 2009-12-21 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1151 | 54% | 2008-11-08 | Won |
| 1085 | 1084 | 50% | 2008-03-07 | Won |
| 1009 | 969 | 56% | 2008-02-09 | Won |
| 1015 | 1048 | 45% | 2007-05-22 | Won |
| 1059 | 1035 | 53% | 2006-11-07 | Won |
| 1419 | 1071 | 88% | 2006-09-10 | Lost |
| 1340 | 917 | 92% | 2006-09-10 | Won |
| 1419 | 1340 | 61% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1419 | 39% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1340 | 16% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1055 | 84% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1340 | 901 | 93% | 2006-02-07 | Won |
| 927 | 982 | 42% | 2005-09-17 | Won |
| 935 | 862 | 60% | 2005-04-24 | Won |
| 986 | 1185 | 24% | 2003-06-21 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1065 | 56% | 1999-12-03 | Won |
| 1012 | 1010 | 50% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1089.4 vs 1067.8 has a 53.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).