First and Inches
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 114 (17 on the archive and 98 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 51
Defender wins (American): 63
With balance for both players:
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1196 | 24% | 2024-07-28 | A+D | Lost |
| 1055 | 1138 | 38% | 2015-07-24 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1060 | 62% | 2014-10-09 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1143 | 50% | 2014-10-09 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1218 | 21% | 2014-08-04 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 1126 | 46% | 2013-06-13 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2009-12-04 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1219 | 39% | 2008-09-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2006-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2006-05-27 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2004-09-19 | | Won |
| 1140 | 1010 | 68% | 2003-06-20 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1343 | 16% | 2003-06-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1014 | 48% | 2002-10-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2001-11-26 | | Won |
| 1078 | 1056 | 53% | 2000-01-13 | | Lost |
| 982 | 1035 | 42% | 2000-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1064.8 vs 1111.6 has a 43.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).