A New Day Dawning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (3 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (French): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1095 | 1064 | 54% | 2006-01-04 | Won |
| 953 | 988 | 45% | 2000-06-10 | Won |
| 1057 | 1154 | 36% | 1999-07-10 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1035 vs 1068.7 has a 45.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).