Pebbles in the Stream
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (6 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 944 | 48% | 2022-07-29 | | Lost |
| 965 | 1126 | 28% | 2013-09-15 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2009-08-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1034 | 45% | 2006-08-23 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1150 | 60% | 2006-07-14 | | Lost |
| 1046 | 1000 | 57% | 2005-12-10 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1054.2 vs 1032.2 has a 53.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).