Olin's Surprise
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2001-12-12 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-11-27 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1097.5 vs 1097.5 has a 50% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).