The Trap at Targul Frumos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (13 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 30
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1102 | 1163 | 41% | 2020-07-20 | Won |
| 1328 | 1184 | 70% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 965 | 911 | 58% | 2019-06-20 | Won |
| 1344 | 1162 | 74% | 2019-06-20 | Won |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 987 | 1063 | 39% | 2017-06-12 | Lost |
| 1219 | 969 | 81% | 2016-05-07 | Won |
| 1140 | 1141 | 50% | 2010-10-03 | Lost |
| 990 | 1141 | 30% | 2007-10-07 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1122 | 47% | 2004-01-26 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1110 | 49% | 1994-11-05 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | | Won |
| 833 | 1074 | 20% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1103.1 vs 1082 has a 53.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).