The Trap at Targul Frumos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (10 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1248 | 1145 | 64% | 2020-07-20 | Won |
| 1208 | 1257 | 43% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 952 | 911 | 56% | 2019-06-20 | Won |
| 949 | 1044 | 37% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 910 | 1089 | 26% | 2017-06-12 | Lost |
| 1310 | 968 | 88% | 2016-05-07 | Won |
| 1136 | 1147 | 48% | 2004-01-26 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1110 | 69% | 1994-11-05 | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
| 847 | 1117 | 17% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1092.9 vs 1090.5 has a 50.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).