The Trap at Targul Frumos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (12 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1177 | 1163 | 52% | 2020-07-20 | Won |
| 1209 | 1221 | 48% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 903 | 910 | 49% | 2019-06-20 | Won |
| 1055 | 975 | 61% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 930 | 1029 | 36% | 2017-06-12 | Lost |
| 1274 | 968 | 85% | 2016-05-07 | Won |
| 1112 | 1138 | 46% | 2010-10-03 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1138 | 33% | 2007-10-07 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1130 | 56% | 2004-01-26 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1110 | 60% | 1994-11-05 | Won |
| 1095 | 1083 | 52% | | Won |
| 831 | 1083 | 19% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1079.3 vs 1079 has a 50.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).